First Community Bancshares Stock Forecast
First Community Bancshares stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Monday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 22, 2024)
The First Community Bancshares stock price fell by -0.88% on the last day (Monday, 22nd Apr 2024) from $33.10 to $32.81. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.71% from a day low at $32.77 to a day high of $33.33. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.27% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -13 thousand shares and in total, 18 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $580.38 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -6.63% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $28.22 and $31.75 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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FCBC Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.89%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The First Community Bancshares stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $32.82. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $32.11. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Community Bancshares stock
First Community Bancshares finds support from accumulated volume at $32.46 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.560 between high and low, or 1.71%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.24%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (FCBC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect First Community Bancshares to open at $32.97, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $31.99 and $33.63, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.82 (+/-2.51%) up or down from last closing price. If First Community Bancshares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.03% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $32.46 (1.07%) than the resistance at $33.35 (1.65%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
First Community Bancshares will release earnings BMO on Tuesday, April 23, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.600. We will update the financials statements for First Community Bancshares, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 3.46% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is First Community Bancshares stock A Buy?
First Community Bancshares holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.888 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for First Community Bancshares of Tuesday, April 23, 2024
Fair opening price April 23, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$32.97 ( 0.488%) | $32.81 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FCBC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 33.53 | 2.19 % | |
R2 | 33.32 | 1.54 % | ||
R1 | 33.18 | 1.14 % | ||
Current price: | 32.81 | |||
Support | S1 | 32.76 | -0.164 % | |
S2 | 32.62 | -0.567 % | ||
S3 | 32.41 | -1.22 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 36.41 | 10.97 % | |
R2 | 34.51 | 5.18 % | ||
R1 | 33.35 | 1.65 % | ||
Current price | 32.81 | |||
Support | S1 | 32.46 | -1.07% | |
S2 | 32.36 | -1.37% | ||
S3 | 31.99 | -2.50% |
FCBC Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 23, 2024 | Feb 08, 2024 | Feb 23, 2024 | $0.290 | 0.90% |
2 | Oct 24, 2023 | Nov 09, 2023 | Nov 24, 2023 | $0.290 | 0.86% |
3 | Jul 25, 2023 | Aug 10, 2023 | Aug 25, 2023 | $0.290 | 0.94% |
4 | Apr 25, 2023 | May 11, 2023 | May 26, 2023 | $0.290 | 1.06% |
5 | Jan 24, 2023 | Feb 09, 2023 | Feb 24, 2023 | $0.290 | 0.91% |
FAQ
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