Mercer International Inc. Stock Forecast
Stronger technical forecast for Mercer International Inc. stock price after Tuesday trading.
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)
The Mercer International Inc. stock price gained 3.32% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2024), rising from $9.65 to $9.97. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.06% from a day low at $9.59 to a day high of $10.08. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.6% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 4 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 120 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.20 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 22.58% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $11.27 and $13.70 at the end of this 3-month period.
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MERC Signals & Forecast
The Mercer International Inc. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $9.52 and $9.74. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Mercer International Inc. has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, March 11, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.06%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Mercer International Inc. stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $8.38 and $8.27. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Mercer International Inc. finds support just below today's level at $8.38. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $8.27 and $8.03.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.485 between high and low, or 5.06%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.01%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $9.52 (-4.47%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 30 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (MERC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect Mercer International Inc. to open at $9.88, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $9.60 and $10.34, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.367 (+/-3.68%) up or down from last closing price. If Mercer International Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.36% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $9.98 (0.10%) than the support at $8.38 (15.95%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Mercer International Inc. stock A Buy?
Mercer International Inc. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.228 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Mercer International Inc. of Wednesday, April 24, 2024
Fair opening price April 24, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$9.88 ( 0.92%) | $9.97 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MERC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 10.36 | 3.95 % | |
R2 | 10.18 | 2.09 % | ||
R1 | 10.06 | 0.94 % | ||
Current price: | 9.97 | |||
Support | S1 | 9.69 | -2.78 % | |
S2 | 9.58 | -3.93 % | ||
S3 | 9.39 | -5.78 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 10.17 | 2.01 % | |
R2 | 10.03 | 0.602 % | ||
R1 | 9.98 | 0.100 % | ||
Current price | 9.97 | |||
Support | S1 | 8.38 | -15.95% | |
S2 | 8.27 | -17.05% | ||
S3 | 8.03 | -19.46% |
MERC Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 15, 2024 | Mar 26, 2024 | Apr 04, 2024 | $0.0750 | 0.755% |
2 | Nov 02, 2023 | Dec 19, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | $0.0750 | 0.787% |
3 | Aug 03, 2023 | Sep 26, 2023 | Oct 04, 2023 | $0.0750 | 0.92% |
4 | May 04, 2023 | Jun 27, 2023 | Jul 06, 2023 | $0.0750 | 0.88% |
5 | Feb 16, 2023 | Mar 28, 2023 | Apr 05, 2023 | $0.0750 | 0.81% |
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