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AI Analysis of MSFT
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Microsoft stock price ended at $411.84 on Wednesday, after losing 0.661%.
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)

Sell candidate since Apr 15, 2024 Loss -0.44% PDF

The Microsoft stock price fell by -0.661% on the last day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024) from $414.58 to $411.84. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.08% from a day low at $410.33 to a day high of $418.88. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.05% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -922 thousand shares and in total, 16 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.50 billion.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 5.65% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $435.12 and $460.80 at the end of this 3-month period.

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MSFT Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Microsoft stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $419.92 and $418.03. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 21, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.08%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Microsoft stock

Microsoft finds support from accumulated volume at $408.59 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $8.55 between high and low, or 2.08%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.88%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (MSFT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Microsoft Corporation to open at $413.68, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $404.68 and $419.00, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$7.16 (+/-1.74%) up or down from last closing price. If Microsoft Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.48% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $413.64 (0.44%) than the support at $408.59 (0.79%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Earnings coming up

Microsoft will release earnings BMO on Thursday, April 25, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $2.81. We will update the financials statements for Microsoft, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.12% in the first trading day after earnings release.

Is Microsoft Corporation stock A Buy?

The Microsoft stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Microsoft will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -3.007 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Opening Price for Microsoft Corporation of Thursday, April 18, 2024

Fair opening price April 18, 2024 Current price
$413.68 ( 0.448%) $411.84

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.

Trading levels for MSFT

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 422.23 2.52 %
R2 418.97 1.73 %
R1 416.95 1.24 %
Current price: 411.84
Support S1 410.42 -0.345 %
S2 408.40 -0.84 %
S3 405.13 -1.63 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 425.22 3.25 %
R2 416.42 1.11 %
R1 413.64 0.437 %
Current price 411.84
Support S1 408.59 -0.789%
S2 403.78 -1.96%
S3 397.58 -3.46%

MSFT Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Mar 12, 2024 May 15, 2024 Jun 13, 2024 $0.750 0.182%
2 Nov 28, 2023 Feb 14, 2024 Mar 14, 2024 $0.750 0.176%
3 Sep 19, 2023 Nov 15, 2023 Dec 14, 2023 $0.750 0.205%
4 Jun 13, 2023 Aug 16, 2023 Sep 14, 2023 $0.680 0.201%
5 Mar 14, 2023 May 17, 2023 Jun 08, 2023 $0.680 0.209%

FAQ

What is the symbol for Microsoft Stock and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for Microsoft is MSFT and it is traded on the NASDAQ (NASDAQ Stock Exchange).

Should I buy or sell Microsoft Stock?
The Microsoft stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Microsoft will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

How to buy Microsoft Stock?
Microsoft Stock can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Microsoft Stock.

What's the current price of Microsoft Stock?
As of the end of day on the 2024-04-17, the price of an Microsoft (MSFT) share was $411.84.

What is the 52-week high and low for Microsoft Stock?
The 52-week high for Microsoft Stock is $430.82 and the 52-week low is $275.37.

What is the market capitalization of Microsoft Stock?
As of the 2024-04-17, the market capitalization of Microsoft is 3.06T.

When is the next earnings date for Microsoft?
The upcoming earnings date for Microsoft is Apr 25, 2024.
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About Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. Its Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, and Skype for Business, as well as related Client Access Licenses (CAL); Skype, Outlook.com, OneDrive, and LinkedIn; and Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based and on-premises business solutions for organiza... MSFT Profile

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