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AI Analysis of NGVC
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Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)

Hold candidate since Apr 19, 2024 PDF

The Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc stock price gained 1.48% on the last trading day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024), rising from $16.24 to $16.48. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.73% from a day low at $16.14 to a day high of $16.58. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -2.2% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -5 thousand shares and in total, 29 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $483.41 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $16.25 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 13.19% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $18.39 and $21.49 at the end of this 3-month period.

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NGVC Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $17.00. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $16.37. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.85%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc stock

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $16.25 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.440 between high and low, or 2.73%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.53%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $15.62 (-5.21%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (NGVC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc to open at $16.40, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $15.93 and $17.03, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.549 (+/-3.33%) up or down from last closing price. If Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $16.25 (1.40%) than the resistance at $17.15 (4.07%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc stock A Buy?

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: -0.799 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Opening Price for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc of Monday, April 22, 2024

Fair opening price April 22, 2024 Current price
$16.40 ( 0.485%) $16.48

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.

Trading levels for NGVC

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 16.84 2.18 %
R2 16.67 1.16 %
R1 16.57 0.534 %
Current price: 16.48
Support S1 16.23 -1.51 %
S2 16.13 -2.14 %
S3 15.96 -3.16 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 18.18 10.32 %
R2 17.31 5.04 %
R1 17.15 4.07 %
Current price 16.48
Support S1 16.25 -1.40%
S2 15.90 -3.52%
S3 15.60 -5.34%

NGVC Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Feb 08, 2024 Mar 01, 2024 Mar 20, 2024 $0.100 0.581%
2 Nov 16, 2023 Nov 24, 2023 Dec 13, 2023 $0.400 2.48%
3 Aug 03, 2023 Aug 25, 2023 Sep 13, 2023 $0.100 0.784%
4 May 04, 2023 May 26, 2023 Jun 14, 2023 $0.100 0.85%
5 Feb 02, 2023 Feb 24, 2023 Mar 15, 2023 $0.100 0.93%

FAQ

What is the symbol for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc Stock and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc is NGVC and it is traded on the NYSE (New York Stock Exchange).

Should I buy or sell Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc Stock?
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

How to buy Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc Stock?
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc Stock can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc Stock.

What's the current price of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc Stock?
As of the end of day on the 2024-04-19, the price of an Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC) share was $16.48.

What is the 52-week high and low for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc Stock?
The 52-week high for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc Stock is $19.35 and the 52-week low is $9.96.

What is the market capitalization of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc Stock?
As of the 2024-04-19, the market capitalization of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc is 374.96M.

When is the next earnings date for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc?
The upcoming earnings date for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc is May 02, 2024.
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About Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails natural and organic groceries, and dietary supplements in the United States. The company's stores offer natural and organic grocery products, such as organic produce; bulk food products; private label products comprising pasta, pasta sauce, ketchup, canned beans and vegetables, frozen vegetables, frozen fruits, frozen meals, frozen pizza, bread, baking mixes, plant ... NGVC Profile

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