Summit Financial Group Stock Forecast
Red day on Wednesday for Summit Financial Group stock after losing 0.635%
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The Summit Financial Group stock price fell by -0.635% on the last day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024) from $25.19 to $25.03. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.28% from a day low at $24.97 to a day high of $25.29. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.47% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -84 shares and in total, 20 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $503.83 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -13.19% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $20.17 and $22.88 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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SMMF Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Summit Financial Group stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $25.32 and $26.01. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen -7.84%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Summit Financial Group stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the stock tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.320 between high and low, or 1.28%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.32%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SMMF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Summit Financial Group to open at $25.10, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $24.48 and $25.58, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.555 (+/-2.22%) up or down from last closing price. If Summit Financial Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.43% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $25.37, some $0.340 (1.36%) from the current price of $25.03, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Earnings coming up
Summit Financial Group will release earnings BMO on Thursday, April 25, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $1.07. We will update the financials statements for Summit Financial Group, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 3.76% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Summit Financial Group stock A Buy?
Summit Financial Group holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -4.622 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Summit Financial Group of Thursday, April 18, 2024
| Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $25.10 ( 0.266%) | $25.03 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SMMF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 25.42 | 1.54 % | |
| R2 | 25.29 | 1.06 % | ||
| R1 | 25.22 | 0.755 % | ||
| Current price: | 25.03 | |||
| Support | S1 | 24.97 | -0.222 % | |
| S2 | 24.90 | -0.524 % | ||
| S3 | 24.78 | -1.01 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 27.16 | 8.51 % | |
| R2 | 25.58 | 2.20 % | ||
| R1 | 25.37 | 1.36 % | ||
| Current price | 25.03 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
SMMF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 23, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 29, 2024 | $0.220 | 0.81% |
| 2 | Nov 23, 2023 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.220 | 0.717% |
| 3 | Aug 25, 2023 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.220 | 0.98% |
| 4 | May 25, 2023 | Jun 14, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.200 | 0.97% |
| 5 | Feb 23, 2023 | Mar 14, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.200 | 0.96% |
FAQ
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