Vince Holding Corp Stock Forecast
Stronger technical forecast for Vince Holding Corp stock price after Tuesday trading.
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)
The Vince Holding Corp stock price gained 1.44% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2024), rising from $2.77 to $2.81. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.73% from a day low at $2.75 to a day high of $2.88. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -4.75% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -16 thousand shares and in total, 13 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $35.63 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $2.76 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.43% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $2.50 and $3.12 at the end of this 3-month period.
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VNCE Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 22, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.44%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vince Holding Corp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $2.90 and $3.16. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vince Holding Corp stock
Vince Holding Corp finds support from accumulated volume at $2.77 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with periodic low trading volume this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.130 between high and low, or 4.73%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.62%.
Vince Holding Corp is oversold on RSI14 (21). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VNCE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect Vince Holding Corp to open at $2.81, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $2.68 and $2.94, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.129 (+/-4.60%) up or down from last closing price. If Vince Holding Corp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.21% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $2.77 (1.42%) than the resistance at $2.95 (4.98%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Vince Holding Corp will release earnings BMO on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. We will update the financials statements for Vince Holding Corp, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 9.59% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Vince Holding Corp stock A Buy?
Vince Holding Corp holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Sell to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.514 Sell Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Vince Holding Corp of Wednesday, April 24, 2024
Fair opening price April 24, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$2.81 ( 0.119%) | $2.81 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VNCE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 2.94 | 4.74 % | |
R2 | 2.89 | 2.98 % | ||
R1 | 2.86 | 1.89 % | ||
Current price: | 2.81 | |||
Support | S1 | 2.76 | -1.65 % | |
S2 | 2.73 | -2.74 % | ||
S3 | 2.68 | -4.51 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 3.38 | 20.28 % | |
R2 | 3.37 | 19.93 % | ||
R1 | 2.95 | 4.98 % | ||
Current price | 2.81 | |||
Support | S1 | 2.77 | -1.42% | |
S2 | 0 | . | ||
S3 | 0 | . |
FAQ
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