RSI low/high Values: [ 25 - 75 ]
* StockInvest.us uses dynamically calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.
AI Analysis of ARI
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Weaker technical forecast for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance as stock downgraded to Strong Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Mar 27, 2024)

Sell candidate since Mar 27, 2024 PDF

The Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock price fell by -0.99% on the last day (Wednesday, 27th Mar 2024) from $11.07 to $10.96. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.57% from a day low at $10.81 to a day high of $10.98. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.79% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -224 thousand shares and in total, 812 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $8.89 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -6.23% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $9.46 and $10.78 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

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ARI Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $11.23 and $10.98. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 21, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.11%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance finds support from accumulated volume at $10.92 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.170 between high and low, or 1.57%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.56%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (ARI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 28th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 28th we expect Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance to open at $10.92, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.69 and $11.23, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.268 (+/-2.44%) up or down from last closing price. If Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.89% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $10.92 (0.36%) than the resistance at $11.16 (1.82%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock A Buy?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Strong Sell candidate.

Current score: -5.749 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Opening Price for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance of Thursday, March 28, 2024

Fair opening price March 28, 2024 Current price
$10.92 ( 0.395%) $10.96

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.

Trading levels for ARI

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 11.09 1.16 %
R2 11.02 0.563 %
R1 10.98 0.197 %
Current price: 10.96
Support S1 10.85 -0.99 %
S2 10.81 -1.35 %
S3 10.75 -1.95 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 11.71 6.84 %
R2 11.55 5.38 %
R1 11.16 1.82 %
Current price 10.96
Support S1 10.92 -0.365%
S2 10.74 -2.01%
S3 10.51 -4.11%

ARI Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Mar 12, 2024 Mar 27, 2024 Apr 15, 2024 $0.350 3.19%
2 Dec 12, 2023 Dec 28, 2023 Jan 12, 2024 $0.350 2.99%
3 Sep 12, 2023 Sep 28, 2023 Oct 13, 2023 $0.350 3.47%
4 Jun 13, 2023 Jun 29, 2023 Jul 14, 2023 $0.350 2.98%
5 Mar 14, 2023 Mar 30, 2023 Apr 14, 2023 $0.350 3.81%

FAQ

What is the symbol for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Stock and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance is ARI and it is traded on the NYSE (New York Stock Exchange).

Should I buy or sell Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Stock?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Strong Sell candidate.

How to buy Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Stock?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Stock can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Stock.

What's the current price of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Stock?
As of the end of day on the 2024-03-27, the price of an Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) share was $10.96.

What is the 52-week high and low for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Stock?
The 52-week high for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Stock is $12.74 and the 52-week low is $8.58.

What is the market capitalization of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Stock?
As of the 2024-03-27, the market capitalization of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance is 1.573B.

When is the next earnings date for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance?
The upcoming earnings date for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance is Apr 24, 2024.
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About Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that originates, acquires, invests in, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments in the United States. It is qualified as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income taxes, if the company distributes at least 90% of its RE... ARI Profile

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