Autohome Inc Stock Forecast
Autohome Inc stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The Autohome Inc stock price gained 1.98% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024), rising from $24.74 to $25.23. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.08% from a day low at $24.74 to a day high of $25.25. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -5.96% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -93 thousand shares and in total, 424 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $10.70 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Autohome Inc stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $24.08 and $27.08 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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ATHM Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Autohome Inc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $25.95. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $24.53. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.04%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Autohome Inc stock
Autohome Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $25.20 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.515 between high and low, or 2.08%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.88%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $24.07 (-4.61%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 6 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ATHM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect Autohome Inc to open at $25.07, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $24.62 and $25.84, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.608 (+/-2.41%) up or down from last closing price. If Autohome Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.82% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $25.20 (0.12%) than the resistance at $25.97 (2.93%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Autohome Inc stock A Buy?
Autohome Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.200 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Autohome Inc of Thursday, April 25, 2024
| Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $25.07 ( 0.628%) | $25.23 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ATHM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 25.59 | 1.41 % | |
| R2 | 25.39 | 0.634 % | ||
| R1 | 25.27 | 0.152 % | ||
| Current price: | 25.23 | |||
| Support | S1 | 24.87 | -1.41 % | |
| S2 | 24.75 | -1.89 % | ||
| S3 | 24.56 | -2.67 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 26.89 | 6.58 % | |
| R2 | 26.59 | 5.39 % | ||
| R1 | 25.97 | 2.93 % | ||
| Current price | 25.23 | |||
| Support | S1 | 25.20 | -0.119% | |
| S2 | 24.74 | -1.94% | ||
| S3 | 24.06 | -4.64% |
ATHM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Mar 27, 2024 | $1.13 | 4.26% |
| 2 | Feb 16, 2023 | Mar 20, 2023 | Apr 11, 2023 | $0.580 | 1.91% |
| 3 | Feb 24, 2022 | Mar 18, 2022 | Apr 05, 2022 | $0.530 | 1.64% |
| 4 | Feb 08, 2021 | Feb 24, 2021 | Mar 05, 2021 | $0.87 | 0.790% |
| 5 | Feb 19, 2020 | Apr 14, 2020 | Apr 22, 2020 | $0.770 | 1.02% |
FAQ
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