Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc Stock Forecast
Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc stock price ended at $17.66 on Wednesday, after losing 2.38%.
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc stock price fell by -2.38% on the last day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024) from $18.09 to $17.66. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.31% from a day low at $17.52 to a day high of $18.45. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 9.35% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -539 thousand shares and in total, 444 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $7.84 million.
The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $18.16 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 29.33% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $19.58 and $23.48 at the end of this 3-month period.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
AVDL Signals & Forecast
The Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $17.69. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $16.66. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 23, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.38%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc stock
Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc finds support from accumulated volume at $17.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.93 between high and low, or 5.31%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.42%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $16.83 (-4.72%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (AVDL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc to open at $17.88, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $16.70 and $18.62, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.96 (+/-5.44%) up or down from last closing price. If Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.87% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $17.99 (1.87%) than the support at $17.00 (3.74%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc will release earnings BMO on Thursday, May 02, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.240. We will update the financials statements for Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 15.08% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 3.293 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc of Thursday, April 25, 2024
| Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $17.88 ( 1.23%) | $17.66 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AVDL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 18.81 | 6.49 % | |
| R2 | 18.45 | 4.48 % | ||
| R1 | 18.23 | 3.24 % | ||
| Current price: | 17.66 | |||
| Support | S1 | 17.52 | -0.785 % | |
| S2 | 17.30 | -2.03 % | ||
| S3 | 16.95 | -4.04 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 18.09 | 2.43 % | ||
| R1 | 17.99 | 1.87 % | ||
| Current price | 17.66 | |||
| Support | S1 | 17.00 | -3.74% | |
| S2 | 16.13 | -8.66% | ||
| S3 | 13.72 | -22.31% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc Stock.
