CurrencyShares Euro ETF Forecast
CurrencyShares Euro ETF upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Monday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 22, 2024)
The CurrencyShares Euro ETF price fell by -0.0051% on the last day (Monday, 22nd Apr 2024) from $98.42 to $98.42. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.315% from a day low at $98.18 to a day high of $98.49. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.82% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 666 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 25 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.45 million.
The ETF is at the lower part of a narrow and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $98.05 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect CurrencyShares Euro ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $97.25 and $99.91 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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FXE Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The CurrencyShares Euro ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $99.84. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $98.32. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.321%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for CurrencyShares Euro ETF
CurrencyShares Euro finds support from accumulated volume at $98.23 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.309 between high and low, or 0.315%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.314%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $93.36 (-5.14%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FXE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect CurrencyShares Euro ETF to open at $98.36, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $97.99 and $98.84, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.422 (+/-0.43%) up or down from last closing price. If CurrencyShares Euro ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.86% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $98.23 (0.19%) than the resistance at $99.04 (0.64%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is CurrencyShares Euro ETF ETF A Buy?
CurrencyShares Euro holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.576 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for CurrencyShares Euro ETF of Tuesday, April 23, 2024
Fair opening price April 23, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$98.36 ( 0.0544%) | $98.42 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FXE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 98.67 | 0.260 % | |
R2 | 98.55 | 0.140 % | ||
R1 | 98.48 | 0.0656 % | ||
Current price: | 98.42 | |||
Support | S1 | 98.24 | -0.174 % | |
S2 | 98.17 | -0.249 % | ||
S3 | 98.05 | -0.369 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 100.30 | 1.92 % | |
R2 | 100.02 | 1.63 % | ||
R1 | 99.04 | 0.635 % | ||
Current price | 98.42 | |||
Support | S1 | 98.23 | -0.188% | |
S2 | 98.14 | -0.279% | ||
S3 | 98.10 | -0.320% |
FXE Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 19, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 08, 2024 | $0.197 | 0.197% |
2 | Feb 19, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 08, 2024 | $0.185 | 0.183% |
3 | Jan 31, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 08, 2024 | $0.198 | 0.199% |
4 | Jan 02, 2024 | Jan 02, 2024 | Jan 02, 2024 | $0.202 | 0.200% |
5 | Dec 01, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.193 | 0.192% |
FAQ
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