Tompkins Financial Corp Stock Forecast
Tompkins Financial Corp stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Monday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 15, 2024)
The Tompkins Financial Corp stock price fell by -0.248% on the last day (Monday, 15th Apr 2024) from $44.33 to $44.22. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.69% from a day low at $43.69 to a day high of $44.43. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -9.57% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 42 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 74 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $3.28 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $43.82 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -12.06% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $38.54 and $43.44 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
TMP Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 11, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.409%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Tompkins Financial Corp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $45.55 and $47.89. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tompkins Financial Corp stock
Tompkins Financial Corp finds support from accumulated volume at $44.14 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.740 between high and low, or 1.69%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.02%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $41.94 (-5.15%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (TMP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 16th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 16th we expect Tompkins Financial Corp to open at $44.11, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $42.85 and $45.59, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.37 (+/-3.09%) up or down from last closing price. If Tompkins Financial Corp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.18% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $44.14 (0.18%) than the resistance at $48.42 (9.50%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Tompkins Financial Corp stock A Buy?
Tompkins Financial Corp holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.651 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Tompkins Financial Corp of Tuesday, April 16, 2024
| Fair opening price April 16, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $44.11 ( 0.241%) | $44.22 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TMP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 44.85 | 1.43 % | |
| R2 | 44.57 | 0.793 % | ||
| R1 | 44.40 | 0.398 % | ||
| Current price: | 44.22 | |||
| Support | S1 | 43.83 | -0.88 % | |
| S2 | 43.66 | -1.28 % | ||
| S3 | 43.37 | -1.91 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 49.39 | 11.69 % | |
| R2 | 49.00 | 10.81 % | ||
| R1 | 48.42 | 9.50 % | ||
| Current price | 44.22 | |||
| Support | S1 | 44.14 | -0.181% | |
| S2 | 44.04 | -0.407% | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
TMP Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 26, 2024 | Feb 08, 2024 | Feb 16, 2024 | $0.600 | 1.17% |
| 2 | Oct 27, 2023 | Nov 06, 2023 | Nov 15, 2023 | $0.600 | 1.07% |
| 3 | Jul 21, 2023 | Jul 31, 2023 | Aug 12, 2023 | $0.600 | 1.05% |
| 4 | Apr 28, 2023 | May 08, 2023 | May 16, 2023 | $0.600 | 1.15% |
| 5 | Feb 06, 2023 | Feb 06, 2023 | May 16, 2023 | $0.600 | 1.15% |
FAQ
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