PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF Forecast

PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)

UUP Signals & Forecast

The PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $28.88. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $28.32. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.484%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, March 15, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Friday, July 28, 2023.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF

PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish finds support from accumulated volume at $28.09 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.130 between high and low, or 0.451%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.351%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $28.02 (-2.67%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (UUP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF to open at $28.81, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $28.67 and $28.91, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.119 (+/-0.41%) up or down from last closing price. If PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.82% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $28.84 (0.17%) than the support at $28.09 (2.43%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF ETF A Buy?

PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.240 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Opening Price for PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF of Wednesday, April 24, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.