Agios Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast
Agios Pharmaceuticals stock price down 0.85% on Monday
(Updated on Apr 15, 2024)
The Agios Pharmaceuticals stock price fell by -0.85% on the last day (Monday, 15th Apr 2024) from $29.51 to $29.26. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.72% from a day low at $28.73 to a day high of $29.80. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 1.39% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -63 thousand shares and in total, 618 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $18.08 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $28.41 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 28.85% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $36.60 and $50.92 at the end of this 3-month period.
AGIO Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Agios Pharmaceuticals stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $30.27. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $29.19. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, February 27, 2024, and so far it has fallen -15.94%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Agios Pharmaceuticals stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $26.80 and $25.15. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Agios Pharmaceuticals finds support just below today's level at $26.80. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $25.15 and $23.42.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.07 between high and low, or 3.72%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.18%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (AGIO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 16th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 16th we expect Agios Pharmaceuticals to open at $29.26, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $28.06 and $30.46, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.20 (+/-4.09%) up or down from last closing price. If Agios Pharmaceuticals takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.17% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $29.94 (2.32%) than the support at $26.80 (8.41%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Agios Pharmaceuticals stock A Buy?
Agios Pharmaceuticals holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.001 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Agios Pharmaceuticals of Tuesday, April 16, 2024
| Fair opening price April 16, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $29.26 ( 0.0114%) | $29.26 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AGIO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 30.33 | 3.67 % | |
| R2 | 29.92 | 2.27 % | ||
| R1 | 29.67 | 1.41 % | ||
| Current price: | 29.26 | |||
| Support | S1 | 28.85 | -1.39 % | |
| S2 | 28.60 | -2.25 % | ||
| S3 | 28.19 | -3.65 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 32.99 | 12.75 % | |
| R2 | 31.79 | 8.65 % | ||
| R1 | 29.94 | 2.32 % | ||
| Current price | 29.26 | |||
| Support | S1 | 26.80 | -8.41% | |
| S2 | 25.15 | -14.05% | ||
| S3 | 23.42 | -19.96% |
FAQ
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