China Automotive Systems Stock Forecast
China Automotive Systems stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)
The China Automotive Systems stock price gained 3.13% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2024), rising from $3.52 to $3.63. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.83% from a day low at $3.53 to a day high of $3.63. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.47% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -13 thousand shares and in total, 19 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $67.25 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.68% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $3.65 and $4.18 at the end of this 3-month period.
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CAAS Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 09, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.47%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. The China Automotive Systems stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $3.58 and $3.49. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for China Automotive Systems stock
China Automotive Systems finds support from accumulated volume at $3.55 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.100 between high and low, or 2.83%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.46%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $3.47 (-4.49%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 10 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CAAS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect China Automotive Systems to open at $3.60, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $3.49 and $3.77, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.136 (+/-3.75%) up or down from last closing price. If China Automotive Systems takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.49% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $3.65 (0.55%) than the support at $3.55 (2.20%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is China Automotive Systems stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for China Automotive Systems stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.366 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for China Automotive Systems of Wednesday, April 24, 2024
| Fair opening price April 24, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $3.60 ( 0.92%) | $3.63 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CAAS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3.70 | 1.84 % | |
| R2 | 3.66 | 0.784 % | ||
| R1 | 3.63 | 0.134 % | ||
| Current price: | 3.63 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3.56 | -1.97 % | |
| S2 | 3.53 | -2.62 % | ||
| S3 | 3.50 | -3.67 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3.73 | 2.75 % | |
| R2 | 3.66 | 0.83 % | ||
| R1 | 3.65 | 0.551 % | ||
| Current price | 3.63 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3.55 | -2.20% | |
| S2 | 3.30 | -9.09% | ||
| S3 | 3.28 | -9.64% |
CAAS Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 27, 2014 | Jun 24, 2014 | Jul 28, 2014 | $0.180 | 1.94% |
FAQ
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