First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF Forecast
First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF price gained 0.286% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024), rising from $52.52 to $52.67. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.38% from a day low at $52.27 to a day high of $52.99. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.14% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -1 thousand shares and in total, 5 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $281.94 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the lower part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $52.39 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 4.48% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $54.73 and $58.55 at the end of this 3-month period.
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FJP Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $54.08. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $52.55. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.765%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF
First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $52.47 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.719 between high and low, or 1.38%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.07%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $49.74 (-5.56%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FJP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund to open at $52.65, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $51.93 and $53.41, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.744 (+/-1.41%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.83% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $52.47 (0.38%) than the resistance at $53.23 (1.06%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.706 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund of Thursday, April 25, 2024
Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$52.65 ( 0.0455%) | $52.67 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FJP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 53.37 | 1.32 % | |
R2 | 53.09 | 0.798 % | ||
R1 | 52.92 | 0.476 % | ||
Current price: | 52.67 | |||
Support | S1 | 52.37 | -0.567 % | |
S2 | 52.20 | -0.89 % | ||
S3 | 51.93 | -1.41 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 54.74 | 3.93 % | |
R2 | 54.38 | 3.25 % | ||
R1 | 53.23 | 1.06 % | ||
Current price | 52.67 | |||
Support | S1 | 52.47 | -0.380% | |
S2 | 52.07 | -1.14% | ||
S3 | 51.30 | -2.60% |
FJP Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 20, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.300 | 0.544% |
2 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $1.12 | 2.22% |
3 | Jun 26, 2023 | Jun 27, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.556 | 1.16% |
4 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 24, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.0840 | 0.185% |
5 | Dec 22, 2022 | Dec 23, 2022 | Dec 30, 2022 | $0.164 | 0.386% |
FAQ
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