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AI Analysis of HTBK
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Heritage Commerce Corp stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)

Hold candidate since Apr 19, 2024 PDF

The Heritage Commerce Corp stock price gained 2.78% on the last trading day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024), rising from $7.90 to $8.12. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.50% from a day low at $7.85 to a day high of $8.13. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.12% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 90 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 362 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.94 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.32% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $7.01 and $7.80 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

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HTBK Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.44%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Heritage Commerce Corp stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $8.24. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $7.93. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Heritage Commerce Corp stock

Heritage Commerce Corp finds support from accumulated volume at $8.02 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.275 between high and low, or 3.50%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.32%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $7.71 (-5.02%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (HTBK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Heritage Commerce Corp to open at $8.03, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $7.92 and $8.32, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.205 (+/-2.52%) up or down from last closing price. If Heritage Commerce Corp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.04% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $8.13 (0.12%) than the support at $8.02 (1.23%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Earnings coming up

Heritage Commerce Corp will release earnings BMO on Thursday, April 25, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.190. We will update the financials statements for Heritage Commerce Corp, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 3.22% in the first trading day after earnings release.

Is Heritage Commerce Corp stock A Buy?

Heritage Commerce Corp holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: -0.884 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Opening Price for Heritage Commerce Corp of Monday, April 22, 2024

Fair opening price April 22, 2024 Current price
$8.03 ( 1.09%) $8.12

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.

Trading levels for HTBK

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 8.31 2.30 %
R2 8.20 1.01 %
R1 8.14 0.206 %
Current price: 8.12
Support S1 7.93 -2.38 %
S2 7.86 -3.18 %
S3 7.76 -4.47 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 9.19 13.18 %
R2 8.25 1.60 %
R1 8.13 0.123 %
Current price 8.12
Support S1 8.02 -1.23%
S2 7.92 -2.46%
S3 7.90 -2.71%

HTBK Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Jan 25, 2024 Feb 07, 2024 Feb 22, 2024 $0.130 1.56%
2 Oct 26, 2023 Nov 06, 2023 Nov 21, 2023 $0.130 1.53%
3 Jul 27, 2023 Aug 09, 2023 Aug 24, 2023 $0.130 1.49%
4 Apr 27, 2023 May 10, 2023 May 25, 2023 $0.130 1.75%
5 Jan 26, 2023 Feb 08, 2023 Feb 23, 2023 $0.130 1.05%

FAQ

What is the symbol for Heritage Commerce Corp Stock and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for Heritage Commerce Corp is HTBK and it is traded on the NASDAQ (NASDAQ Stock Exchange).

Should I buy or sell Heritage Commerce Corp Stock?
Heritage Commerce Corp holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

How to buy Heritage Commerce Corp Stock?
Heritage Commerce Corp Stock can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Heritage Commerce Corp Stock.

What's the current price of Heritage Commerce Corp Stock?
As of the end of day on the 2024-04-19, the price of an Heritage Commerce Corp (HTBK) share was $8.12.

What is the 52-week high and low for Heritage Commerce Corp Stock?
The 52-week high for Heritage Commerce Corp Stock is $10.22 and the 52-week low is $6.69.

What is the market capitalization of Heritage Commerce Corp Stock?
As of the 2024-04-19, the market capitalization of Heritage Commerce Corp is 496.696M.

When is the next earnings date for Heritage Commerce Corp?
The upcoming earnings date for Heritage Commerce Corp is Apr 25, 2024.
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About Heritage Commerce Corp

Heritage Commerce Corp operates as the bank holding company for Heritage Bank of Commerce that provides various commercial and personal banking services to residents and the business/professional community in California. Its deposit products for business banking and retail markets include interest and non-interest bearing demand, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit and time deposits. The company's loan portfolio... HTBK Profile

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