El Pollo Loco Holdings Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for El Pollo Loco Holdings as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The El Pollo Loco Holdings stock price fell by -0.120% on the last day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024) from $8.33 to $8.32. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.06% from a day low at $8.24 to a day high of $8.41. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -8.87% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -69 thousand shares and in total, 203 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.69 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $8.25 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.05% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $7.84 and $9.13 at the end of this 3-month period.
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LOCO Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.605%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The El Pollo Loco Holdings stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $8.53 and $8.91. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for El Pollo Loco Holdings stock
El Pollo Loco Holdings finds support from accumulated volume at $8.27 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.170 between high and low, or 2.06%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.97%.
El Pollo Loco Holdings is oversold on RSI14 (17). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (LOCO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect El Pollo Loco Holdings to open at $8.32, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $8.08 and $8.56, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.237 (+/-2.85%) up or down from last closing price. If El Pollo Loco Holdings takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.70% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $8.27 (0.60%) than the resistance at $9.06 (8.89%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is El Pollo Loco Holdings stock A Buy?
El Pollo Loco Holdings holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.594 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for El Pollo Loco Holdings of Monday, April 22, 2024
| Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $8.32 ( 0%) | $8.32 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for LOCO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 8.49 | 2.04 % | |
| R2 | 8.43 | 1.26 % | ||
| R1 | 8.38 | 0.781 % | ||
| Current price: | 8.32 | |||
| Support | S1 | 8.26 | -0.781 % | |
| S2 | 8.21 | -1.26 % | ||
| S3 | 8.15 | -2.04 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 9.74 | 17.07 % | |
| R2 | 9.17 | 10.22 % | ||
| R1 | 9.06 | 8.89 % | ||
| Current price | 8.32 | |||
| Support | S1 | 8.27 | -0.601% | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
LOCO Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 14, 2022 | Oct 21, 2022 | Nov 09, 2022 | $1.50 | 14.15% |
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