American States Water Company Stock Forecast
American States Water Company stock upgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The American States Water Company stock price gained 0.87% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024), rising from $66.57 to $67.15. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.11% from a day low at $66.63 to a day high of $67.37. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.45% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -27 thousand shares and in total, 169 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $11.36 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $66.43 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.82% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $59.24 and $63.62 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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AWR Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.87%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The American States Water Company stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $68.21 and $70.72. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for American States Water Company stock
American States Water Company finds support from accumulated volume at $66.57 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.740 (1.11%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.52%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (AWR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect American States Water Company to open at $67.05, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $65.85 and $68.45, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.30 (+/-1.94%) up or down from last closing price. If American States Water Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.87% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $66.57 (0.86%) than the resistance at $73.94 (10.11%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is American States Water Company stock A Buy?
American States Water Company holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Sell to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.726 Sell Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for American States Water Company of Thursday, April 18, 2024
| Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $67.05 ( 0.149%) | $67.15 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AWR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 67.79 | 0.95 % | |
| R2 | 67.51 | 0.532 % | ||
| R1 | 67.33 | 0.272 % | ||
| Current price: | 67.15 | |||
| Support | S1 | 66.77 | -0.570 % | |
| S2 | 66.59 | -0.83 % | ||
| S3 | 66.31 | -1.25 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 76.70 | 14.22 % | |
| R2 | 75.88 | 13.00 % | ||
| R1 | 73.94 | 10.11 % | ||
| Current price | 67.15 | |||
| Support | S1 | 66.57 | -0.86% | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
AWR Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 08, 2024 | Feb 20, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | $0.430 | 0.600% |
| 2 | Feb 06, 2024 | Feb 16, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | $0.430 | 0.600% |
| 3 | Nov 01, 2023 | Nov 15, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.430 | 0.529% |
| 4 | Oct 30, 2023 | Nov 14, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.430 | 0.529% |
| 5 | Aug 01, 2023 | Aug 14, 2023 | Sep 01, 2023 | $0.430 | 0.511% |
FAQ
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