Bank of Marin Bancorp Stock Forecast
Bank of Marin Bancorp stock upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 22, 2024)
The Bank of Marin Bancorp stock price fell by -0.322% on the last day (Monday, 22nd Apr 2024) from $15.52 to $15.47. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.82% from a day low at $15.42 to a day high of $15.70. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still down by -0.77% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -18 thousand shares and in total, 43 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $669.36 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -21.73% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $11.21 and $13.03 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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BMRC Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 11, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.18%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Bank of Marin Bancorp stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $16.07. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $15.17. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Bank of Marin Bancorp stock
Bank of Marin Bancorp finds support from accumulated volume at $15.01 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.280 between high and low, or 1.82%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.97%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $14.68 (-5.13%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 7 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BMRC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect Bank of Marin Bancorp to open at $15.53, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $15.03 and $15.91, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.438 (+/-2.83%) up or down from last closing price. If Bank of Marin Bancorp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.66% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $15.01 (2.97%) than the resistance at $16.61 (7.37%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Bank of Marin Bancorp will release earnings BMO on Monday, April 29, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.280. We will update the financials statements for Bank of Marin Bancorp, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 5.38% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Bank of Marin Bancorp stock A Buy?
Bank of Marin Bancorp holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.755 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Bank of Marin Bancorp of Tuesday, April 23, 2024
Fair opening price April 23, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$15.53 ( 0.388%) | $15.47 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BMRC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 15.81 | 2.20 % | |
R2 | 15.70 | 1.51 % | ||
R1 | 15.64 | 1.08 % | ||
Current price: | 15.47 | |||
Support | S1 | 15.42 | -0.304 % | |
S2 | 15.36 | -0.731 % | ||
S3 | 15.25 | -1.42 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 17.04 | 10.15 % | |
R2 | 16.86 | 8.99 % | ||
R1 | 16.61 | 7.37 % | ||
Current price | 15.47 | |||
Support | S1 | 15.01 | -2.97% | |
S2 | 15.00 | -3.04% | ||
S3 | 14.85 | -4.01% |
BMRC Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 29, 2024 | Feb 07, 2024 | Feb 15, 2024 | $0.250 | 1.40% |
2 | Oct 20, 2023 | Nov 02, 2023 | Nov 10, 2023 | $0.250 | 1.38% |
3 | Jul 21, 2023 | Aug 03, 2023 | Aug 11, 2023 | $0.250 | 1.16% |
4 | Apr 21, 2023 | May 04, 2023 | May 12, 2023 | $0.250 | 1.69% |
5 | Jan 20, 2023 | Feb 02, 2023 | Feb 10, 2023 | $0.250 | 0.82% |
FAQ
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