Cincinnati Financial Corporation Stock Forecast
Red day on Wednesday for Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock after losing 1.51%
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock price fell by -1.51% on the last day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024) from $117.07 to $115.30. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.87% from a day low at $115.15 to a day high of $117.30. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.94% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 327 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 855 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $98.59 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 10.88% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $127.84 and $140.56 at the end of this 3-month period.
CINF Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $118.24 and $118.52. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen -7.14%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, December 27, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, December 27, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock
Cincinnati Financial Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $110.94 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $2.15 between high and low, or 1.87%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.88%.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation is oversold on RSI14 (24). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (CINF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Cincinnati Financial Corporation to open at $115.92, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $113.23 and $117.37, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.07 (+/-1.79%) up or down from last closing price. If Cincinnati Financial Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.59% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $117.79 (2.16%) than the support at $110.94 (3.78%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Cincinnati Financial Corporation will release earnings AMC on Thursday, April 25, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $1.58. We will update the financials statements for Cincinnati Financial Corporation, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.05% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock A Buy?
The Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Cincinnati Financial Corporation will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.256 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Cincinnati Financial Corporation of Thursday, April 18, 2024
Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$115.92 ( 0.535%) | $115.30 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CINF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 118.07 | 2.40 % | |
R2 | 117.25 | 1.69 % | ||
R1 | 116.74 | 1.25 % | ||
Current price: | 115.30 | |||
Support | S1 | 115.10 | -0.177 % | |
S2 | 114.59 | -0.618 % | ||
S3 | 113.77 | -1.33 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 120.28 | 4.32 % | |
R2 | 119.90 | 3.99 % | ||
R1 | 117.79 | 2.16 % | ||
Current price | 115.30 | |||
Support | S1 | 110.94 | -3.78% | |
S2 | 110.80 | -3.90% | ||
S3 | 107.03 | -7.17% |
CINF Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 26, 2024 | Mar 18, 2024 | Apr 15, 2024 | $0.81 | 0.693% |
2 | Nov 17, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Jan 16, 2024 | $0.750 | 0.699% |
3 | Aug 25, 2023 | Sep 15, 2023 | Oct 16, 2023 | $0.750 | 0.727% |
4 | May 06, 2023 | Jun 15, 2023 | Jul 14, 2023 | $0.750 | 0.766% |
5 | Jan 27, 2023 | Mar 16, 2023 | Apr 14, 2023 | $0.750 | 0.703% |
FAQ
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