Harmonic Inc. Stock Forecast
Evaluation of Harmonic Inc. stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)
The Harmonic Inc. stock price fell by -1.24% on the last day (Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2024) from $9.70 to $9.58. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.09% from a day low at $9.54 to a day high of $9.83. The price has fallen in 9 of the last 10 days and is down by -14.62% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -280 thousand shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $15.05 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $9.39 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -12.54% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $8.21 and $11.08 at the end of this 3-month period.
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HLIT Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Harmonic Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $9.93 and $12.15. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, February 14, 2024, and so far it has fallen -31.81%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Harmonic Inc. stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.295 between high and low, or 3.09%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.26%.
Harmonic Inc. is oversold on RSI14 (5). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (HLIT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect Harmonic Inc. to open at $9.65, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $9.13 and $10.03, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.451 (+/-4.71%) up or down from last closing price. If Harmonic Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.41% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $10.94, some $1.36 (14.20%) from the current price of $9.58, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Earnings coming up
Harmonic Inc. will release earnings AMC on Monday, April 29, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.0100. We will update the financials statements for Harmonic Inc., that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 4.09% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Harmonic Inc. stock A Buy?
Harmonic Inc. holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score: -5.737 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Harmonic Inc. of Wednesday, April 24, 2024
| Fair opening price April 24, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $9.65 ( 0.713%) | $9.58 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for HLIT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 9.94 | 3.79 % | |
| R2 | 9.83 | 2.62 % | ||
| R1 | 9.76 | 1.89 % | ||
| Current price: | 9.58 | |||
| Support | S1 | 9.54 | -0.463 % | |
| S2 | 9.47 | -1.19 % | ||
| S3 | 9.35 | -2.37 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 11.85 | 23.70 % | |
| R2 | 11.22 | 17.12 % | ||
| R1 | 10.94 | 14.20 % | ||
| Current price | 9.58 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
FAQ
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