SMART Global Holdings Inc Stock Forecast
Red day on Monday for SMART Global Holdings Inc
(Updated on Apr 15, 2024)
The SMART Global Holdings Inc stock price fell by -3.43% on the last day (Monday, 15th Apr 2024) from $19.54 to $18.87. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.85% from a day low at $18.81 to a day high of $19.91. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -28.47% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -340 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $22.58 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 14.64% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $21.63 and $31.69 at the end of this 3-month period.
SGH Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The SMART Global Holdings Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $22.15 and $23.59. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, March 26, 2024, and so far it has fallen -29.85%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SMART Global Holdings Inc stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $1.10 between high and low, or 5.85%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 9.36%.
SMART Global Holdings Inc is oversold on RSI14 (13). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SGH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 16th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 16th we expect SMART Global Holdings Inc to open at $19.20, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $17.55 and $20.19, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.32 (+/-6.99%) up or down from last closing price. If SMART Global Holdings Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 13.98% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $19.68, some $0.81 (4.29%) from the current price of $18.87, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is SMART Global Holdings Inc stock A Buy?
The SMART Global Holdings Inc stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe SMART Global Holdings Inc will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.813 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for SMART Global Holdings Inc of Tuesday, April 16, 2024
| Fair opening price April 16, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $19.20 ( 1.73%) | $18.87 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SGH
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 20.30 | 7.56 % | |
| R2 | 19.88 | 5.33 % | ||
| R1 | 19.62 | 3.96 % | ||
| Current price: | 18.87 | |||
| Support | S1 | 18.78 | -0.496 % | |
| S2 | 18.52 | -1.87 % | ||
| S3 | 18.10 | -4.10 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 22.62 | 19.87 % | |
| R2 | 22.16 | 17.44 % | ||
| R1 | 19.68 | 4.29 % | ||
| Current price | 18.87 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
FAQ
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