ARK ETF Forecast
Red day on Friday for ARK
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The ARK ETF price fell by -2.14% on the last day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024) from $42.92 to $42.00. It has now fallen 6 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 3.82% from a day low at $41.71 to a day high of $43.31. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -10.85% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 3 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 14 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $605.02 million.
The ETF has broken the horizontal trend down. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately $46.70 is considered to be a "second chance" to get out before further fall. It is, however, important to note that false breaks may appear and that the price may move back into the horizontal trend. A break on increasing volume is considered to be more significant and reliable than breaks on low volume.
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ARKK Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The ARK ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $44.38 and $48.35. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, February 27, 2024, and so far it has fallen -18.51%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Tuesday, February 27, 2024 with a target of $44.39. Despite whether the objective of the signal formation has been reached the ETF may continue to fall.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ARK ETF
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.60 between high and low, or 3.82%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 3.49%.
ARK is oversold on RSI14 (20). Some ETFS may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ARKK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect ARK INNOVATION ETF to open at $42.34, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $40.56 and $43.44, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.44 (+/-3.43%) up or down from last closing price. If ARK INNOVATION ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.85% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $45.41, some $3.41 (8.12%) from the current price of $42.00, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is ARK INNOVATION ETF ETF A Buy?
ARK holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.
Current score: -2.769 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for ARK INNOVATION ETF of Monday, April 22, 2024
| Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $42.34 ( 0.81%) | $42.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ARKK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 43.93 | 4.60 % | |
| R2 | 43.32 | 3.15 % | ||
| R1 | 42.95 | 2.26 % | ||
| Current price: | 42.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 41.73 | -0.645 % | |
| S2 | 41.35 | -1.54 % | ||
| S3 | 40.74 | -2.99 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 50.25 | 19.64 % | |
| R2 | 47.88 | 14.00 % | ||
| R1 | 45.41 | 8.12 % | ||
| Current price | 42.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
ARKK Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 08, 2023 | Sep 08, 2023 | Sep 08, 2023 | $0.364 | 0.83% |
| 2 | Dec 28, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 31, 2021 | $0.783 | 0.83% |
| 3 | Dec 28, 2020 | Dec 29, 2020 | Dec 31, 2020 | $2.04 | 1.64% |
| 4 | Dec 26, 2019 | Dec 27, 2019 | Dec 31, 2019 | $0.191 | 0.382% |
| 5 | Dec 27, 2018 | Dec 27, 2018 | Dec 31, 2018 | $1.17 | 3.14% |
FAQ
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