PulteGroup Inc Stock Forecast
Evaluation of PulteGroup Inc stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The PulteGroup Inc stock price fell by -0.443% on the last day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024) from $112.76 to $112.26. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.08% from a day low at $111.19 to a day high of $114.62. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 2.61% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -2 million shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $218.92 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 8.81% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $115.24 and $134.40 at the end of this 3-month period.
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PHM Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 6.48%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The PulteGroup Inc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $112.57. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $108.18. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, February 21, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, February 21, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for PulteGroup Inc stock
PulteGroup Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $106.86 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $3.43 between high and low, or 3.08%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.87%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $107.70 (-4.06%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (PHM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect PulteGroup Inc to open at $112.69, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $108.91 and $115.61, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.35 (+/-2.99%) up or down from last closing price. If PulteGroup Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.98% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $112.76 (0.45%) than the support at $106.86 (4.81%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is PulteGroup Inc stock A Buy?
PulteGroup Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.313 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for PulteGroup Inc of Thursday, April 25, 2024
Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$112.69 ( 0.383%) | $112.26 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for PHM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 116.12 | 3.44 % | |
R2 | 114.81 | 2.27 % | ||
R1 | 114.00 | 1.55 % | ||
Current price: | 112.26 | |||
Support | S1 | 111.38 | -0.784 % | |
S2 | 110.57 | -1.51 % | ||
S3 | 109.26 | -2.67 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 114.28 | 1.80 % | |
R2 | 114.20 | 1.73 % | ||
R1 | 112.76 | 0.445 % | ||
Current price | 112.26 | |||
Support | S1 | 106.86 | -4.81% | |
S2 | 106.06 | -5.52% | ||
S3 | 105.55 | -5.98% |
PHM Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 01, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Apr 02, 2024 | $0.200 | 0.175% |
2 | Nov 16, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Jan 03, 2024 | $0.200 | 0.199% |
3 | Sep 06, 2023 | Sep 15, 2023 | Oct 03, 2023 | $0.160 | 0.226% |
4 | May 03, 2023 | Jun 16, 2023 | Jul 05, 2023 | $0.160 | 0.207% |
5 | Feb 01, 2023 | Mar 17, 2023 | Apr 04, 2023 | $0.160 | 0.274% |
FAQ
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