CHANGAN AUTOMOB/Shs A Vtg 1.00 Stock Forecast
Green day on Thursday for CHANGAN AUTOMOB/Shs A Vtg 1.00
(Updated on Mar 28, 2024)
The CHANGAN AUTOMOB/Shs A Vtg 1.00 stock price gained 1.06% on the last trading day (Thursday, 28th Mar 2024), rising from ¥16.99 to ¥17.17. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.91% from a day low at ¥16.88 to a day high of ¥17.54. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 4% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -69 million shares and in total, 183 million shares were bought and sold for approximately ¥3.14 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 16.14% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ¥15.41 and ¥21.46 at the end of this 3-month period.
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000625.SZ Signals & Forecast
The CHANGAN AUTOMOB/Shs A Vtg 1.00 stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately ¥17.58. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately ¥15.30. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 21, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.97%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for CHANGAN AUTOMOB/Shs A Vtg 1.00 stock
CHANGAN AUTOMOB/Shs A Vtg 1.00 finds support from accumulated volume at ¥16.83 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved ¥0.660 between high and low, or 3.91%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.65%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ¥16.32 (-4.93%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (000625.SZ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 29th we expect CHANGAN AUTOMOB/Shs A Vtg 1.00 to open at ¥17.20, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ¥16.37 and ¥17.97, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-¥0.797 (+/-4.64%) up or down from last closing price. If CHANGAN AUTOMOB/Shs A Vtg 1.00 takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.29% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ¥17.27 (0.58%) than the support at ¥16.83 (1.98%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is CHANGAN AUTOMOB/Shs A Vtg 1.00 stock A Buy?
CHANGAN AUTOMOB/Shs A Vtg 1.00 holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.295 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for CHANGAN AUTOMOB/Shs A Vtg 1.00 of Friday, March 29, 2024
Fair opening price March 29, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
¥17.20 ( 0.155%) | ¥17.17 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 000625.SZ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 17.86 | 4.00 % | |
R2 | 17.60 | 2.53 % | ||
R1 | 17.45 | 1.62 % | ||
Current price: | 17.17 | |||
Support | S1 | 16.94 | -1.31 % | |
S2 | 16.79 | -2.22 % | ||
S3 | 16.54 | -3.69 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 18.26 | 6.35 % | |
R2 | 17.90 | 4.25 % | ||
R1 | 17.27 | 0.582 % | ||
Current price | 17.17 | |||
Support | S1 | 16.83 | -1.98% | |
S2 | 16.72 | -2.62% | ||
S3 | 15.94 | -7.16% |
000625 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jul 12, 2023 | Jul 12, 2023 | Jul 12, 2023 | ¥0.236 | 1.67% |
2 | Jun 27, 2022 | Jun 27, 2022 | Jun 27, 2022 | ¥0.233 | 1.26% |
3 | Jul 01, 2021 | Jul 01, 2021 | Jul 01, 2021 | ¥0.168 | 1.16% |
4 | Jul 26, 2019 | Jul 26, 2019 | Jul 26, 2019 | ¥0.0099 | 0.233% |
5 | Jul 06, 2018 | Jul 06, 2018 | Jul 06, 2018 | ¥0.245 | 5.39% |
FAQ
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