AIA Group Limited Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Friday for AIA Group Limited
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The AIA Group Limited stock price fell by -1.36% on the last day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024) from HK$47.85 to HK$47.20. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.00% from a day low at HK$46.70 to a day high of HK$48.10. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -12.02% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -5 million shares and in total, 53 million shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$2.50 billion.
The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at HK$45.20 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -21.17% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$35.63 and HK$46.09 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
1299.HK Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The AIA Group Limited stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at HK$47.90 and HK$56.05. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.61%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AIA Group Limited stock
AIA Group Limited finds support from accumulated volume at HK$46.80 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved HK$1.40 between high and low, or 3.00%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.75%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (1299.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect AIA Group Limited to open at HK$47.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$45.40 and HK$49.00, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$1.80 (+/-3.81%) up or down from last closing price. If AIA Group Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.61% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at HK$46.80 (0.85%) than the resistance at HK$48.60 (2.97%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is AIA Group Limited stock A Buy?
AIA Group Limited holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.300 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for AIA Group Limited of Monday, April 22, 2024
| Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| HK$47.33 ( 0.282%) | HK$47.20 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 1299.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 48.73 | 3.25 % | |
| R2 | 48.20 | 2.12 % | ||
| R1 | 47.87 | 1.42 % | ||
| Current price: | 47.20 | |||
| Support | S1 | 46.80 | -0.85 % | |
| S2 | 46.47 | -1.55 % | ||
| S3 | 45.93 | -2.68 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 54.25 | 14.94 % | |
| R2 | 52.55 | 11.33 % | ||
| R1 | 48.60 | 2.97 % | ||
| Current price | 47.20 | |||
| Support | S1 | 46.80 | -0.85% | |
| S2 | 46.00 | -2.54% | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
1299 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 29, 2024 | May 29, 2024 | Jun 14, 2024 | HK$1.19 | 2.52% |
| 2 | Sep 11, 2023 | Sep 11, 2023 | Sep 11, 2023 | HK$0.423 | 0.638% |
| 3 | May 23, 2023 | May 23, 2023 | May 23, 2023 | HK$1.13 | 1.45% |
| 4 | Sep 09, 2022 | Sep 09, 2022 | Sep 09, 2022 | HK$0.403 | 0.539% |
| 5 | May 24, 2022 | May 24, 2022 | May 24, 2022 | HK$1.08 | 1.40% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy AIA Group Limited Stock.
