Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Stock Forecast

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation stock upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)

ACRE Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 8.11%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $7.24. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $6.62. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $6.52 and $6.43. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation finds support just below today's level at $6.52. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $6.43 and $6.41.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.220 between high and low, or 3.28%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.99%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $6.64 (-4.14%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (ACRE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation to open at $6.86, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $6.72 and $7.14, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.213 (+/-3.08%) up or down from last closing price. If Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.16% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $7.24 (4.47%) than the support at $6.52 (5.92%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation stock A Buy?

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: -0.615 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Opening Price for Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation of Thursday, April 25, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.