Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Stock Forecast
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock price up 0.482% on Wednesday
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock price gained 0.482% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024), rising from $10.38 to $10.43. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.39% from a day low at $10.39 to a day high of $10.54. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still down by -4.84% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -244 thousand shares and in total, 453 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.72 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.63% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $9.61 and $10.86 at the end of this 3-month period.
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ARI Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.482%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $10.69 and $10.99. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance finds support from accumulated volume at $10.38 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.145 (1.39%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.11%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ARI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance to open at $10.45, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.17 and $10.69, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.257 (+/-2.46%) up or down from last closing price. If Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.92% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $10.38 (0.48%) than the resistance at $10.51 (0.77%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock A Buy?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.614 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance of Thursday, April 18, 2024
| Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $10.45 ( 0.208%) | $10.43 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ARI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 10.60 | 1.60 % | |
| R2 | 10.54 | 1.07 % | ||
| R1 | 10.51 | 0.739 % | ||
| Current price: | 10.43 | |||
| Support | S1 | 10.40 | -0.323 % | |
| S2 | 10.36 | -0.651 % | ||
| S3 | 10.31 | -1.18 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 11.55 | 10.74 % | |
| R2 | 10.74 | 2.97 % | ||
| R1 | 10.51 | 0.767 % | ||
| Current price | 10.43 | |||
| Support | S1 | 10.38 | -0.479% | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
ARI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 12, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | Apr 15, 2024 | $0.350 | 3.31% |
| 2 | Dec 12, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Jan 12, 2024 | $0.350 | 2.99% |
| 3 | Sep 12, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | Oct 13, 2023 | $0.350 | 3.47% |
| 4 | Jun 13, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jul 14, 2023 | $0.350 | 2.98% |
| 5 | Mar 14, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Apr 14, 2023 | $0.350 | 3.81% |
FAQ
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