AmeriServ Financial Inc. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
AmeriServ Financial Inc. stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Mar 28, 2024)
The AmeriServ Financial Inc. stock price fell by -4.06% on the last day (Thursday, 28th Mar 2024) from $2.71 to $2.60. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.64% from a day low at $2.60 to a day high of $2.72. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.76% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 2 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $9.25 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -21.81% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.80 and $2.13 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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ASRV Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, March 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 8.79%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The AmeriServ Financial Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $2.69 and $2.70. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. AmeriServ Financial Inc. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AmeriServ Financial Inc. stock
AmeriServ Financial Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at $2.57 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.121 between high and low, or 4.64%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.63%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ASRV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect AmeriServ Financial Inc. to open at $2.64, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $2.48 and $2.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.118 (+/-4.53%) up or down from last closing price. If AmeriServ Financial Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.07% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $2.57 (1.15%) than the resistance at $2.91 (11.92%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is AmeriServ Financial Inc. stock A Buy?
AmeriServ Financial Inc. holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.180 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for AmeriServ Financial Inc. of Monday, April 1, 2024
Fair opening price April 1, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$2.64 ( 1.55%) | $2.60 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ASRV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 2.76 | 6.18 % | |
R2 | 2.71 | 4.41 % | ||
R1 | 2.69 | 3.32 % | ||
Current price: | 2.60 | |||
Support | S1 | 2.59 | -0.226 % | |
S2 | 2.57 | -1.32 % | ||
S3 | 2.52 | -3.09 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 3.10 | 19.23 % | |
R2 | 3.01 | 15.77 % | ||
R1 | 2.91 | 11.92 % | ||
Current price | 2.60 | |||
Support | S1 | 2.57 | -1.15% | |
S2 | 2.56 | -1.54% | ||
S3 | 2.39 | -8.08% |
ASRV Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 18, 2024 | Feb 02, 2024 | Feb 20, 2024 | $0.0300 | 1.03% |
2 | Oct 20, 2023 | Nov 03, 2023 | Nov 20, 2023 | $0.0300 | 1.08% |
3 | Jul 20, 2023 | Aug 04, 2023 | Aug 21, 2023 | $0.0300 | 0.96% |
4 | Apr 20, 2023 | May 05, 2023 | Aug 21, 2023 | $0.0300 | 0.96% |
5 | Jan 19, 2023 | Feb 03, 2023 | Feb 21, 2023 | $0.0300 | 0.756% |
FAQ
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