Aurobindo Pharma Limited Stock Forecast
Aurobindo Pharma Limited stock upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Aurobindo Pharma Limited stock price gained 0.460% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024), rising from ₹1,109.80 to ₹1,114.90. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.98% from a day low at ₹1,095.70 to a day high of ₹1,128.40. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.2% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -131 thousand shares and in total, 71 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹79.06 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stockis at the upper part of a wide and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at ₹1,135.47 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Aurobindo Pharma Limited stock with a 90% probability to be traded between ₹976.20 and ₹1,124.13 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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AUROPHARMA.BO Signals & Forecast
The Aurobindo Pharma Limited stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at ₹1,110.55 and ₹1,063.19. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 03, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.95%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Aurobindo Pharma Limited stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at ₹1,018.05 and ₹1,017.95. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Aurobindo Pharma Limited finds support just below today's level at ₹1,018.05. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at ₹1,017.95 and ₹1,015.95.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved ₹32.70 between high and low, or 2.98%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.93%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹1,074.90 (-3.59%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 8 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AUROPHARMA.BO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Aurobindo Pharma Limited to open at ₹1,113.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹1,081.07 and ₹1,148.73, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹33.83 (+/-3.03%) up or down from last closing price. If Aurobindo Pharma Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.07% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ₹1,150.35 (3.18%) than the support at ₹1,018.05 (8.69%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Aurobindo Pharma Limited stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for Aurobindo Pharma Limited stock to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.507 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Aurobindo Pharma Limited of Friday, April 19, 2024
| Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ₹1,113.00 ( 0.170%) | ₹1,114.90 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AUROPHARMA.BO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1,145.70 | 2.76 % | |
| R2 | 1,133.21 | 1.64 % | ||
| R1 | 1,125.49 | 0.95 % | ||
| Current price: | 1,114.90 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1,100.51 | -1.29 % | |
| S2 | 1,092.79 | -1.98 % | ||
| S3 | 1,080.30 | -3.10 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1,159.80 | 4.03 % | |
| R2 | 1,150.45 | 3.19 % | ||
| R1 | 1,150.35 | 3.18 % | ||
| Current price | 1,114.90 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1,018.05 | -8.69% | |
| S2 | 1,017.95 | -8.70% | ||
| S3 | 1,015.95 | -8.88% |
FAQ
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