Cerus Corporation Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Stronger technical forecast for Cerus Corporation stock price after Thursday trading.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
No changes to the price of Cerus Corporation stock on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024). During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.21% from a day low at $1.61 to a day high of $1.71. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -13.23% for this period.
The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $1.63 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -12.41% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.43 and $1.98 at the end of this 3-month period.
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CERS Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Cerus Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $1.69 and $1.93. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell on the last day without any changes to the price. This does not cause any direct divergence but may be an early warning and a possible "turning point". A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Cerus Corporation stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.1000 between high and low, or 6.21%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.58%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (CERS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Cerus Corporation to open at $1.65, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1.50 and $1.78, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.136 (+/-8.29%) up or down from last closing price. If Cerus Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 16.57% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $1.80, some $0.160 (9.76%) from the current price of $1.64, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Cerus Corporation stock A Buy?
Cerus Corporation holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Sell to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -4.497 Sell Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Cerus Corporation of Friday, April 19, 2024
| Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $1.65 ( 0.81%) | $1.64 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CERS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1.75 | 6.91 % | |
| R2 | 1.72 | 4.58 % | ||
| R1 | 1.69 | 3.14 % | ||
| Current price: | 1.64 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1.62 | -1.52 % | |
| S2 | 1.59 | -2.96 % | ||
| S3 | 1.55 | -5.28 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 2.04 | 24.39 % | |
| R2 | 1.97 | 20.12 % | ||
| R1 | 1.80 | 9.76 % | ||
| Current price | 1.64 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
FAQ
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