Calamos Convertible Opportunities and Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Calamos Convertible Opportunities and stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The Calamos Convertible Opportunities and stock price fell by -0.631% on the last day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024) from $11.10 to $11.03. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.19% from a day low at $10.95 to a day high of $11.19. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.61% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -78 thousand shares and in total, 128 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.41 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.17% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $10.80 and $11.88 at the end of this 3-month period.
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CHI Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Calamos Convertible Opportunities and stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $11.15. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $10.82. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 23, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.631%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Calamos Convertible Opportunities and stock
Calamos Convertible Opportunities and finds support from accumulated volume at $10.90 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.240 between high and low, or 2.19%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.53%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $10.56 (-4.26%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (CHI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect Calamos Convertible Opportunities and Income Fund to open at $11.06, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.85 and $11.21, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.179 (+/-1.62%) up or down from last closing price. If Calamos Convertible Opportunities and Income Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.24% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $11.05 (0.18%) than the support at $10.90 (1.18%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Calamos Convertible Opportunities and Income Fund stock A Buy?
Calamos Convertible Opportunities and holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.217 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Calamos Convertible Opportunities and Income Fund of Thursday, April 25, 2024
Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$11.06 ( 0.242%) | $11.03 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CHI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 11.30 | 2.42 % | |
R2 | 11.20 | 1.59 % | ||
R1 | 11.15 | 1.07 % | ||
Current price: | 11.03 | |||
Support | S1 | 10.96 | -0.589 % | |
S2 | 10.91 | -1.10 % | ||
S3 | 10.82 | -1.93 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 11.54 | 4.62 % | |
R2 | 11.10 | 0.635 % | ||
R1 | 11.05 | 0.181 % | ||
Current price | 11.03 | |||
Support | S1 | 10.90 | -1.18% | |
S2 | 10.81 | -1.99% | ||
S3 | 10.57 | -4.17% |
CHI Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 11, 2024 | Apr 19, 2024 | $0.0950 | 0.88% |
2 | Mar 13, 2024 | Mar 13, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | $0.0950 | 0.82% |
3 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 09, 2024 | Feb 20, 2024 | $0.0950 | 0.86% |
4 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Jan 11, 2024 | $0.0950 | 0.91% |
5 | Dec 01, 2023 | Dec 11, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | $0.0950 | 0.92% |
FAQ
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