Commercial Vehicle Group Stock Forecast
Evaluation of Commercial Vehicle Group stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)
The Commercial Vehicle Group stock price fell by -1.42% on the last day (Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2024) from $6.35 to $6.26. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.88% from a day low at $6.25 to a day high of $6.43. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.69% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -17 thousand shares and in total, 71 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $442.63 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.27% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $5.59 and $6.08 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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CVGI Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Commercial Vehicle Group stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $6.30 and $6.29. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 01, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.84%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Commercial Vehicle Group stock
Commercial Vehicle Group finds support from accumulated volume at $6.20 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved $0.180 between high and low, or 2.88%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.62%
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (CVGI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect Commercial Vehicle Group to open at $6.31, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $6.07 and $6.45, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.192 (+/-3.07%) up or down from last closing price. If Commercial Vehicle Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.14% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $6.20 (0.96%) than the resistance at $6.32 (0.96%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Commercial Vehicle Group stock A Buy?
Commercial Vehicle Group holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.332 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Commercial Vehicle Group of Wednesday, April 24, 2024
| Fair opening price April 24, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $6.31 ( 0.85%) | $6.26 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CVGI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 6.49 | 3.73 % | |
| R2 | 6.42 | 2.63 % | ||
| R1 | 6.38 | 1.95 % | ||
| Current price: | 6.26 | |||
| Support | S1 | 6.24 | -0.246 % | |
| S2 | 6.20 | -0.93 % | ||
| S3 | 6.13 | -2.02 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 6.43 | 2.72 % | |
| R2 | 6.38 | 1.92 % | ||
| R1 | 6.32 | 0.96 % | ||
| Current price | 6.26 | |||
| Support | S1 | 6.20 | -0.96% | |
| S2 | 6.15 | -1.76% | ||
| S3 | 6.10 | -2.56% |
FAQ
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