Emami Limited Stock Forecast
Emami Limited stock price ended at ₹440.20 on Tuesday, after losing 1.28%.
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)
The Emami Limited stock price fell by -1.28% on the last day (Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2024) from ₹445.90 to ₹440.20. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.84% from a day low at ₹439.00 to a day high of ₹451.45. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.48% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -3 thousand shares and in total, 6 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹2.57 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at ₹449.27 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -12.84% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹346.31 and ₹391.57 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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EMAMILTD.BO Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, March 15, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.09%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Emami Limited stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at ₹445.02 and ₹443.62. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Emami Limited stock
Emami Limited finds support from accumulated volume at ₹434.90 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved ₹12.45 (2.84%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.20%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹415.21 (-5.68%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 22 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (EMAMILTD.BO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect Emami Limited to open at ₹443.55, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹427.57 and ₹452.83, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹12.63 (+/-2.87%) up or down from last closing price. If Emami Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.74% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at ₹434.90 (1.20%) than the resistance at ₹466.85 (6.05%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Emami Limited stock A Buy?
Emami Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: -0.553 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Emami Limited of Wednesday, April 24, 2024
| Fair opening price April 24, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ₹443.55 ( 0.761%) | ₹440.20 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for EMAMILTD.BO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 456.00 | 3.59 % | |
| R2 | 451.24 | 2.51 % | ||
| R1 | 448.31 | 1.84 % | ||
| Current price: | 440.20 | |||
| Support | S1 | 438.79 | -0.319 % | |
| S2 | 435.86 | -0.99 % | ||
| S3 | 431.10 | -2.07 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 474.95 | 7.89 % | |
| R2 | 468.60 | 6.45 % | ||
| R1 | 466.85 | 6.05 % | ||
| Current price | 440.20 | |||
| Support | S1 | 434.90 | -1.20% | |
| S2 | 423.70 | -3.75% | ||
| S3 | 423.60 | -3.77% |
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