Elbit Systems Ltd. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Elbit Systems Ltd. stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on Mar 28, 2024)
The Elbit Systems Ltd. stock price fell by -0.436% on the last day (Thursday, 28th Mar 2024) from $211.15 to $210.23. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.89% from a day low at $208.62 to a day high of $210.47. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.78% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -19 thousand shares and in total, 31 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.57 million.
The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Elbit Systems Ltd. stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $199.40 and $226.29 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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ESLT Signals & Forecast
The Elbit Systems Ltd. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $205.76 and $208.94. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, March 14, 2024, and so far it has risen 5.78%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Elbit Systems Ltd. stock
Elbit Systems Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at $206.38 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.85 between high and low, or 0.89%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.39%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $199.79 (-4.96%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 10 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ESLT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect Elbit Systems Ltd. to open at $209.77, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $206.75 and $213.71, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.48 (+/-1.66%) up or down from last closing price. If Elbit Systems Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.31% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $211.15 (0.44%) than the support at $206.38 (1.83%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Elbit Systems Ltd. stock A Buy?
Elbit Systems Ltd. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.194 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Elbit Systems Ltd. of Monday, April 1, 2024
Fair opening price April 1, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$209.77 ( 0.217%) | $210.23 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ESLT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 211.62 | 0.663 % | |
R2 | 210.92 | 0.327 % | ||
R1 | 210.48 | 0.119 % | ||
Current price: | 210.23 | |||
Support | S1 | 209.07 | -0.553 % | |
S2 | 208.63 | -0.761 % | ||
S3 | 207.92 | -1.10 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 220.61 | 4.94 % | |
R2 | 220.05 | 4.67 % | ||
R1 | 211.15 | 0.438 % | ||
Current price | 210.23 | |||
Support | S1 | 206.38 | -1.83% | |
S2 | 201.63 | -4.09% | ||
S3 | 198.75 | -5.46% |
ESLT Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dec 26, 2023 | Dec 26, 2023 | Jan 08, 2024 | $0.500 | 0.241% |
2 | Nov 27, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Jan 08, 2024 | $0.420 | 0.203% |
3 | Aug 14, 2023 | Oct 09, 2023 | Oct 23, 2023 | $0.500 | 0.265% |
4 | Aug 14, 2023 | Oct 06, 2023 | Oct 23, 2023 | $0.420 | 0.222% |
5 | May 29, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | Jul 10, 2023 | $0.500 | 0.238% |
FAQ
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