First Mid-Illinois Bancshares Stock Forecast
First Mid-Illinois Bancshares stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Buy Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The First Mid-Illinois Bancshares stock price gained 4.25% on the last trading day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024), rising from $29.86 to $31.13. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.22% from a day low at $29.68 to a day high of $31.23. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.45% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 3 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 65 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.03 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.21% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $27.40 and $30.57 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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FMBH Signals & Forecast
The First Mid-Illinois Bancshares stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $29.75 and $30.70. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 6.32%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Mid-Illinois Bancshares stock
First Mid-Illinois Bancshares finds support from accumulated volume at $30.74 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.55 between high and low, or 5.22%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.83%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $29.85 (-4.12%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FMBH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect First Mid-Illinois Bancshares to open at $30.68, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $30.28 and $31.98, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.85 (+/-2.73%) up or down from last closing price. If First Mid-Illinois Bancshares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.46% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $31.20 (0.22%) than the support at $30.74 (1.25%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
First Mid-Illinois Bancshares will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, April 24, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.86. We will update the financials statements for First Mid-Illinois Bancshares, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 4.06% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is First Mid-Illinois Bancshares stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.118 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for First Mid-Illinois Bancshares of Monday, April 22, 2024
| Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $30.68 ( 1.45%) | $31.13 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FMBH
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 32.23 | 3.53 % | |
| R2 | 31.64 | 1.63 % | ||
| R1 | 31.27 | 0.456 % | ||
| Current price: | 31.13 | |||
| Support | S1 | 30.09 | -3.35 % | |
| S2 | 29.72 | -4.52 % | ||
| S3 | 29.13 | -6.42 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 33.61 | 7.97 % | |
| R2 | 31.47 | 1.09 % | ||
| R1 | 31.20 | 0.225 % | ||
| Current price | 31.13 | |||
| Support | S1 | 30.74 | -1.25% | |
| S2 | 30.04 | -3.50% | ||
| S3 | 29.57 | -5.01% |
FMBH Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 23, 2024 | Feb 15, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | $0.230 | 0.764% |
| 2 | Nov 22, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.230 | 0.726% |
| 3 | Jul 25, 2023 | Aug 11, 2023 | Sep 01, 2023 | $0.230 | 0.796% |
| 4 | Apr 26, 2023 | May 16, 2023 | Jun 01, 2023 | $0.230 | 0.95% |
| 5 | Jan 24, 2023 | Feb 14, 2023 | Mar 01, 2023 | $0.230 | 0.740% |
FAQ
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