First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Friday for First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan ETF price gained 0.81% on the last trading day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024), rising from $26.01 to $26.22. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.08% from a day low at $25.94 to a day high of $26.22. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -3.64% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 269 more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 3 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $89.15 thousand.
The ETF lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $25.88 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 4.62% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $27.08 and $30.26 at the end of this 3-month period.
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FPA Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.55%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $27.33. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $26.17. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan ETF
First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan finds support from accumulated volume at $26.01 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.280 (1.08%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.80%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $24.71 (-5.77%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FPA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan AlphaDEX Fund to open at $26.13, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $25.90 and $26.54, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.322 (+/-1.23%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.46% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $26.01 (0.80%) than the resistance at $26.97 (2.86%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?
First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: -0.056 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan AlphaDEX Fund of Monday, April 22, 2024
Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$26.13 ( 0.356%) | $26.22 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FPA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 26.41 | 0.712 % | |
R2 | 26.30 | 0.304 % | ||
R1 | 26.23 | 0.0520 % | ||
Current price: | 26.22 | |||
Support | S1 | 26.02 | -0.764 % | |
S2 | 25.95 | -1.02 % | ||
S3 | 25.85 | -1.42 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 27.29 | 4.08 % | |
R2 | 27.08 | 3.28 % | ||
R1 | 26.97 | 2.86 % | ||
Current price | 26.22 | |||
Support | S1 | 26.01 | -0.80% | |
S2 | 25.99 | -0.88% | ||
S3 | 25.90 | -1.23% |
FPA Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 20, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.118 | 0.428% |
2 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.272 | 1.00% |
3 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.181 | 0.709% |
4 | Jun 26, 2023 | Jun 27, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.134 | 0.505% |
5 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 24, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.236 | 0.88% |
FAQ
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