Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Stock Forecast
Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim stock price fell by -3.16% on the last day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024) from TRY 38.62 to TRY 37.40. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.12% from a day low at TRY 37.34 to a day high of TRY 38.88. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -5.17% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -3 million shares and in total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately TRY 137.55 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at TRY 34.40 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 60.50% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between TRY 55.22 and TRY 85.78 at the end of this 3-month period.
GEREL.IS Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at TRY 37.90. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at TRY 36.31. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 13, 2024, and so far it has fallen -19.01%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at TRY 34.52 and TRY 34.44. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim finds support just below today's level at TRY 34.52. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at TRY 34.44 and TRY 33.02.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved TRY 1.54 between high and low, or 4.12%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.98%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (GEREL.IS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi to open at TRY 37.87, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between TRY 34.37 and TRY 40.43, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-TRY 3.03 (+/-8.11%) up or down from last closing price. If Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 16.23% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at TRY 38.64 (3.32%) than the support at TRY 34.52 (7.70%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi stock A Buy?
Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.547 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Gersan Elektrik Ticaret ve Sanayi Anonim Sirketi of Thursday, April 18, 2024
Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
TRY 37.87 ( 1.27%) | TRY 37.40 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GEREL.IS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 39.41 | 5.38 % | |
R2 | 38.83 | 3.81 % | ||
R1 | 38.46 | 2.84 % | ||
Current price: | 37.40 | |||
Support | S1 | 37.29 | -0.307 % | |
S2 | 36.92 | -1.28 % | ||
S3 | 36.33 | -2.85 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 46.18 | 23.48 % | |
R2 | 45.28 | 21.07 % | ||
R1 | 38.64 | 3.32 % | ||
Current price | 37.40 | |||
Support | S1 | 34.52 | -7.70% | |
S2 | 34.44 | -7.91% | ||
S3 | 33.02 | -11.71% |
FAQ
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