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Explanation to Bollinger's Bands

Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.

Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.

Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation

BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.

BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)

Live Samples:

Bollinger Bottleneck Buy Pattern 1
Bollinger Bottleneck Buy Pattern 2
Bollinger Bottleneck Sell Pattern

Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.

Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com

RSI low/high Values: [ 25 - 75 ]
* StockInvest.us uses dynamically calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.
AI Analysis of MSFT
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Red day on Thursday for Microsoft stock after losing 1.84%
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)

Sell candidate since Apr 15, 2024 Loss -2.27% PDF

The Microsoft stock price fell by -1.84% on the last day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024) from $411.84 to $404.27. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.94% from a day low at $404.03 to a day high of $411.88. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.26% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 5 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 21 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $8.32 billion.

The stock has broken the weak rising short-term trend down. This signalizes a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning about a possible trend shift. Due to the trend being broken there will now be resistance at the bottom line of the trend at $412.13. A reaction back to this level may hold a second chance to get out before further falls.

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MSFT Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Microsoft stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $416.77 and $417.93. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 21, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.85%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Microsoft stock

Microsoft finds support from accumulated volume at $403.78 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $7.85 between high and low, or 1.94%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.94%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (MSFT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Microsoft Corporation to open at $406.73, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $397.05 and $411.49, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$7.22 (+/-1.78%) up or down from last closing price. If Microsoft Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.57% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $403.78 (0.12%) than the resistance at $413.64 (2.32%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Earnings coming up

Microsoft will release earnings AMC on Thursday, April 25, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $2.81. We will update the financials statements for Microsoft, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.12% in the first trading day after earnings release.

Is Microsoft Corporation stock A Buy?

The Microsoft stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Microsoft will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -1.035 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Opening Price for Microsoft Corporation of Friday, April 19, 2024

Fair opening price April 19, 2024 Current price
$406.73 ( 0.608%) $404.27

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.

Trading levels for MSFT

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 414.58 2.55 %
R2 411.58 1.81 %
R1 409.73 1.35 %
Current price: 404.27
Support S1 403.73 -0.134 %
S2 401.88 -0.592 %
S3 398.88 -1.33 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 425.22 5.18 %
R2 416.42 3.01 %
R1 413.64 2.32 %
Current price 404.27
Support S1 403.78 -0.121%
S2 398.67 -1.39%
S3 397.58 -1.65%

MSFT Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Mar 12, 2024 May 15, 2024 Jun 13, 2024 $0.750 0.185%
2 Nov 28, 2023 Feb 14, 2024 Mar 14, 2024 $0.750 0.176%
3 Sep 19, 2023 Nov 15, 2023 Dec 14, 2023 $0.750 0.205%
4 Jun 13, 2023 Aug 16, 2023 Sep 14, 2023 $0.680 0.201%
5 Mar 14, 2023 May 17, 2023 Jun 08, 2023 $0.680 0.209%

FAQ

What is the symbol for Microsoft Stock and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for Microsoft is MSFT and it is traded on the NASDAQ (NASDAQ Stock Exchange).

Should I buy or sell Microsoft Stock?
The Microsoft stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Microsoft will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

How to buy Microsoft Stock?
Microsoft Stock can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Microsoft Stock.

What's the current price of Microsoft Stock?
As of the end of day on the 2024-04-18, the price of an Microsoft (MSFT) share was $404.27.

What is the 52-week high and low for Microsoft Stock?
The 52-week high for Microsoft Stock is $430.82 and the 52-week low is $275.37.

What is the market capitalization of Microsoft Stock?
As of the 2024-04-18, the market capitalization of Microsoft is 3.004T.

When is the next earnings date for Microsoft?
The upcoming earnings date for Microsoft is Apr 25, 2024.
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About Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. Its Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, and Skype for Business, as well as related Client Access Licenses (CAL); Skype, Outlook.com, OneDrive, and LinkedIn; and Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based and on-premises business solutions for organiza... MSFT Profile

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