Puravankara Limited Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
High volatility in Puravankara Limited stock price on Thursday which ended trading at ₹354.20
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Puravankara Limited stock price fell by -4.86% on the last day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024) from ₹372.30 to ₹354.20. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 10.52% from a day low at ₹353.70 to a day high of ₹390.90. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 51.92% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -379 thousand shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹577.31 million.
The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at ₹372.85 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 9.71% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹208.60 and ₹409.04 at the end of this 3-month period.
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PURVA.NS Signals & Forecast
The Puravankara Limited stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at ₹326.68 and ₹243.05. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.86%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Puravankara Limited stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at ₹324.05 and ₹294.60. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Puravankara Limited finds support just below today's level at ₹324.05. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at ₹294.60 and ₹293.35.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved ₹37.20 between high and low, or 10.52%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 8.66%.
The Puravankara Limited stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹336.04 (-5.13%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. The RSI14 is 86 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (PURVA.NS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Puravankara Limited to open at ₹366.27, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹333.07 and ₹375.33, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹21.13 (+/-5.96%) up or down from last closing price. If Puravankara Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 11.93% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ₹354.90 (0.20%) than the support at ₹324.05 (8.51%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Puravankara Limited stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Puravankara Limited stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.668 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Puravankara Limited of Friday, April 19, 2024
| Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ₹366.27 ( 3.41%) | ₹354.20 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for PURVA.NS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 403.47 | 13.91 % | |
| R2 | 389.26 | 9.90 % | ||
| R1 | 380.48 | 7.42 % | ||
| Current price: | 354.20 | |||
| Support | S1 | 352.06 | -0.605 % | |
| S2 | 343.28 | -3.08 % | ||
| S3 | 329.07 | -7.10 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 372.30 | 5.11 % | ||
| R1 | 354.90 | 0.198 % | ||
| Current price | 354.20 | |||
| Support | S1 | 324.05 | -8.51% | |
| S2 | 294.60 | -16.83% | ||
| S3 | 293.35 | -17.18% |
PURVA Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 08, 2024 | ₹6.30 | 2.61% |
| 2 | Sep 15, 2022 | Sep 15, 2022 | Sep 15, 2022 | ₹5.00 | 4.52% |
| 3 | May 18, 2019 | Sep 18, 2019 | Sep 27, 2019 | ₹1.00 | 1.43% |
| 4 | Aug 10, 2018 | Sep 17, 2018 | Oct 26, 2018 | ₹1.60 | 2.46% |
| 5 | May 29, 2017 | Aug 18, 2017 | Sep 28, 2017 | ₹2.25 | 3.04% |
FAQ
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