First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF price up 0.674% on Monday
(Updated on Apr 22, 2024)
The First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF price gained 0.674% on the last trading day (Monday, 22nd Apr 2024), rising from $85.53 to $86.10. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.539% from a day low at $85.78 to a day high of $86.24. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.37% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -53 thousand shares and in total, 2 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $144.05 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF is at the lower part of a horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $85.45 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $85.09 and $90.58 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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QQXT Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $88.95. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $86.08. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.744%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF
First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology finds support from accumulated volume at $86.05 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.462 between high and low, or 0.539%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.543%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $81.23 (-5.65%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (QQXT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund to open at $86.04, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $85.33 and $86.87, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.774 (+/-0.90%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.80% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $86.05 (0.05%) than the resistance at $87.63 (1.77%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund ETF A Buy?
First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.310 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund of Tuesday, April 23, 2024
| Fair opening price April 23, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $86.04 ( 0.0712%) | $86.10 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for QQXT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 86.50 | 0.465 % | |
| R2 | 86.33 | 0.260 % | ||
| R1 | 86.22 | 0.134 % | ||
| Current price: | 86.10 | |||
| Support | S1 | 85.86 | -0.276 % | |
| S2 | 85.75 | -0.403 % | ||
| S3 | 85.58 | -0.608 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 90.81 | 5.47 % | |
| R2 | 88.43 | 2.70 % | ||
| R1 | 87.63 | 1.77 % | ||
| Current price | 86.10 | |||
| Support | S1 | 86.05 | -0.0542% | |
| S2 | 85.53 | -0.669% | ||
| S3 | 85.47 | -0.739% |
QQXT Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.289 | 0.317% |
| 2 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.405 | 0.459% |
| 3 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.187 | 0.230% |
| 4 | Jun 26, 2023 | Jun 27, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.159 | 0.189% |
| 5 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 24, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.217 | 0.263% |
FAQ
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