Stadler Rail AG Stock Forecast
Stadler Rail AG stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on Mar 28, 2024)
The Stadler Rail AG stock price fell by -0.623% on the last day (Thursday, 28th Mar 2024) from 28.90 Fr to 28.72 Fr. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.61% from a day low at 28.64 Fr to a day high of 29.10 Fr. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.42% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -86 thousand shares and in total, 130 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 3.72 Fr million.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at 28.88 Fr will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -3.38% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 24.99 Fr and 27.91 Fr at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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SRAIL.SW Signals & Forecast
The Stadler Rail AG stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at 28.42 Fr and 28.19 Fr. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 27, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.623%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Stadler Rail AG stock
Stadler Rail AG finds support from accumulated volume at 28.50 Fr and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved 0.460 Fr between high and low, or 1.61%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.79%.
Our recommended stop-loss: 27.55 Fr (-4.08%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (SRAIL.SW) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 2nd we expect Stadler Rail AG to open at 28.82 Fr, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 28.08 Fr and 29.36 Fr, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.639 Fr (+/-2.23%) up or down from last closing price. If Stadler Rail AG takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.45% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 28.84 Fr (0.42%) than the support at 28.50 Fr (0.77%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Stadler Rail AG stock A Buy?
Stadler Rail AG holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.072 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Stadler Rail AG of Tuesday, April 2, 2024
Fair opening price April 2, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
28.82 Fr ( 0.348%) | 28.72 Fr |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SRAIL.SW
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 29.28 | 1.95 % | |
R2 | 29.10 | 1.34 % | ||
R1 | 29.00 | 0.96 % | ||
Current price: | 28.72 | |||
Support | S1 | 28.64 | -0.264 % | |
S2 | 28.54 | -0.642 % | ||
S3 | 28.36 | -1.25 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 29.80 | 3.76 % | |
R2 | 28.90 | 0.627 % | ||
R1 | 28.84 | 0.418 % | ||
Current price | 28.72 | |||
Support | S1 | 28.50 | -0.766% | |
S2 | 27.70 | -3.55% | ||
S3 | 27.68 | -3.62% |
SRAIL Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 24, 2024 | May 24, 2024 | May 28, 2024 | 0.90 Fr | 3.13% |
2 | May 16, 2023 | May 16, 2023 | May 19, 2023 | 0.90 Fr | 2.43% |
3 | May 09, 2022 | May 09, 2022 | May 11, 2022 | 0.90 Fr | 2.62% |
4 | May 10, 2021 | May 10, 2021 | May 10, 2021 | 0.85 Fr | 1.92% |
5 | Jan 31, 2020 | May 05, 2020 | May 07, 2020 | 1.20 Fr | 2.92% |
FAQ
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