Tirupati Graphite plc Stock Forecast
Tirupati Graphite plc stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Monday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 15, 2024)
The Tirupati Graphite plc stock price fell by -4.17% on the last day (Monday, 15th Apr 2024) from £6.00 to £5.75. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.65% from a day low at £5.63 to a day high of £6.00. The price has fallen in 4 of the last 10 days but is still up by 10.58% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 50 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 177 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £1.02 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at £5.89 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -54.34% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £1.09 and £2.69 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
TGR.L Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, March 14, 2024, and so far it has risen 23.66%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Tirupati Graphite plc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at £5.84 and £6.03. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Tirupati Graphite plc gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tirupati Graphite plc stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at £4.95 and £4.90. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Tirupati Graphite plc finds support just below today's level at £4.95. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at £4.90 and £4.85.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved £0.374 between high and low, or 6.65%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.36%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (TGR.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 16th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 16th we expect Tirupati Graphite plc to open at £5.79, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £5.29 and £6.21, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£0.463 (+/-8.05%) up or down from last closing price. If Tirupati Graphite plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 16.10% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at £6.20 (7.83%) than the support at £4.95 (13.91%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Tirupati Graphite plc stock A Buy?
Tirupati Graphite plc holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -4.226 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Tirupati Graphite plc of Tuesday, April 16, 2024
| Fair opening price April 16, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £5.79 ( 0.730%) | £5.75 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TGR.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 6.17 | 7.23 % | |
| R2 | 6.02 | 4.75 % | ||
| R1 | 5.93 | 3.22 % | ||
| Current price: | 5.75 | |||
| Support | S1 | 5.65 | -1.75 % | |
| S2 | 5.56 | -3.29 % | ||
| S3 | 5.42 | -5.77 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 6.48 | 12.70 % | |
| R2 | 6.25 | 8.70 % | ||
| R1 | 6.20 | 7.83 % | ||
| Current price | 5.75 | |||
| Support | S1 | 4.95 | -13.91% | |
| S2 | 4.90 | -14.78% | ||
| S3 | 4.85 | -15.65% |
FAQ
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