Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary Stock Forecast
Evaluation of Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary stock price fell by -0.535% on the last day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024) from $22.95 to $22.82. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.10% from a day low at $22.76 to a day high of $23.01. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.17% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -4 thousand shares and in total, 7 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $162.81 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -2.96% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $21.70 and $23.41 at the end of this 3-month period.
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ACGLO Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 15, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.66%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $23.45. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $22.72. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary stock
Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary finds support from accumulated volume at $22.80 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved $0.250 between high and low, or 1.10%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.23%
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ACGLO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary Shares Each Representing 1/1000th Interest in a Share of5.45% Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares Series F to open at $22.86, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $22.52 and $23.12, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.298 (+/-1.31%) up or down from last closing price. If Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary Shares Each Representing 1/1000th Interest in a Share of5.45% Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares Series F takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.61% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $22.80 (0.10%) than the resistance at $23.45 (2.75%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary Shares Each Representing 1/1000th Interest in a Share of5.45% Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares Series F stock A Buy?
Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.760 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Arch Capital Group Ltd. Depositary Shares Each Representing 1/1000th Interest in a Share of5.45% Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares Series F of Thursday, April 25, 2024
Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$22.86 ( 0.183%) | $22.82 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ACGLO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 23.11 | 1.28 % | |
R2 | 23.02 | 0.86 % | ||
R1 | 22.96 | 0.602 % | ||
Current price: | 22.82 | |||
Support | S1 | 22.77 | -0.235 % | |
S2 | 22.71 | -0.493 % | ||
S3 | 22.61 | -0.91 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 24.01 | 5.20 % | |
R2 | 23.50 | 2.97 % | ||
R1 | 23.45 | 2.75 % | ||
Current price | 22.82 | |||
Support | S1 | 22.80 | -0.0973% | |
S2 | 22.51 | -1.37% | ||
S3 | 22.45 | -1.63% |
ACGLO Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | $0 | 0% |
2 | Nov 10, 2023 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 31, 2023 | $0.341 | 1.43% |
3 | May 05, 2023 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 30, 2023 | $0.341 | 1.65% |
4 | May 05, 2023 | Jun 14, 2023 | Sep 30, 2023 | $0.341 | 1.66% |
5 | Feb 24, 2023 | Mar 14, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.341 | 1.48% |
FAQ
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