Explanation to Bollinger's Bands

Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.

Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.

Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation

BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.

BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)

Live Samples:

Bollinger Bottleneck Buy Pattern 1
Bollinger Bottleneck Buy Pattern 2
Bollinger Bottleneck Sell Pattern

Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.

Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com

RSI low/high Values: [ 25 - 75 ]
* StockInvest.us uses dynamically calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.
AI Analysis of AGNC
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Stronger technical forecast for American Capital Agency stock price after Wednesday trading.
(Updated on Mar 27, 2024)

Hold candidate since Mar 27, 2024 PDF

The American Capital Agency stock price gained 0.513% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 27th Mar 2024), rising from $9.74 to $9.79. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.53% from a day low at $9.65 to a day high of $9.80. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.71% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -3 million shares and in total, 7 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $68.55 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect American Capital Agency stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $9.04 and $9.84 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

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AGNC Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, March 25, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.710%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The American Capital Agency stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $9.76 and $9.58. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for American Capital Agency stock

American Capital Agency finds support from accumulated volume at $9.50 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.148 between high and low, or 1.53%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.38%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $9.44 (-3.60%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (AGNC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 28th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 28th we expect American Capital Agency Corp. to open at $9.75, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $9.63 and $9.95, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.159 (+/-1.62%) up or down from last closing price. If American Capital Agency Corp. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.24% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $9.81 (0.20%) than the support at $9.50 (2.96%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is American Capital Agency Corp. stock A Buy?

American Capital Agency holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: -0.760 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Opening Price for American Capital Agency Corp. of Thursday, March 28, 2024

Fair opening price March 28, 2024 Current price
$9.75 ( 0.436%) $9.79

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.

Trading levels for AGNC

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 9.90 1.08 %
R2 9.84 0.498 %
R1 9.80 0.142 %
Current price: 9.79
Support S1 9.69 -1.01 %
S2 9.66 -1.37 %
S3 9.60 -1.95 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 9.86 0.715 %
R2 9.82 0.306 %
R1 9.81 0.204 %
Current price 9.79
Support S1 9.50 -2.96%
S2 9.48 -3.17%
S3 9.39 -4.09%

AGNC Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Mar 27, 2024 Mar 27, 2024 Apr 09, 2024 $0.120 1.23%
2 Feb 08, 2024 Feb 28, 2024 Mar 11, 2024 $0.120 1.22%
3 Jan 10, 2024 Jan 30, 2024 Feb 09, 2024 $0.120 1.27%
4 Dec 13, 2023 Dec 28, 2023 Jan 10, 2024 $0.120 1.21%
5 Nov 08, 2023 Nov 29, 2023 Dec 11, 2023 $0.120 1.35%

FAQ

What is the symbol for American Capital Agency Stock and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for American Capital Agency is AGNC and it is traded on the NASDAQ (NASDAQ Stock Exchange).

Should I buy or sell American Capital Agency Stock?
American Capital Agency holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

How to buy American Capital Agency Stock?
American Capital Agency Stock can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy American Capital Agency Stock.

What's the current price of American Capital Agency Stock?
As of the end of day on the 2024-03-27, the price of an American Capital Agency (AGNC) share was $9.79.

What is the 52-week high and low for American Capital Agency Stock?
The 52-week high for American Capital Agency Stock is $10.64 and the 52-week low is $6.81.

What is the market capitalization of American Capital Agency Stock?
As of the 2024-03-27, the market capitalization of American Capital Agency is 6.776B.

When is the next earnings date for American Capital Agency?
The upcoming earnings date for American Capital Agency is Apr 22, 2024.
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About American Capital Agency Corp.

American Capital Agency AGNC Investment Corp. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the United States government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency. It funds its investments primarily through collateralized borrowings structured as repurcha... AGNC Profile

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