Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited Fund Forecast
Red day on Thursday for Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited
(Updated on Mar 28, 2019)
No changes to the price of Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited fund on the last trading day (Thursday, 28th Mar 2019). During the last trading day the fund fluctuated 0% from a day low at $42.74 to a day high of $42.74. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0% change for the last 2 weeks.
The fund lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the fund is expected to rise 2.24% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $43.29 and $44.01 at the end of this 3-month period.
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AHL Signals & Forecast
The Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited fund holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $42.74 and $42.71. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 27, 2019, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell on the last day without any changes to the price. This does not cause any direct divergence but may be an early warning and a possible "turning point". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. The fund had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, February 05, 2019 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Friday, September 14, 2018.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the fund in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited fund
Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited finds support from accumulated volume at $42.53 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the fund tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the fund During the last day, the fund moved $0 between high and low, or 0%. For the last week the fund has had daily average volatility of 0%
Our recommended stop-loss: $41.03 (-4.00%) (This fund has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (AHL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 29th we expect Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited to open at $42.74, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $42.72 and $42.76, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0187 (+/-0.04%) up or down from last closing price. If Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.09% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $42.53, some $0.210 (0.49%) from the current price of $42.74, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited fund A Buy?
Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: -0.220 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited of Friday, March 29, 2019
Fair opening price March 29, 2019 | Current price |
---|---|
$42.74 ( 0%) | $42.74 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AHL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 42.74 | . | |
R2 | 42.74 | . | ||
R1 | 42.74 | . | ||
Current price: | 42.74 | |||
Support | S1 | 42.74 | . | |
S2 | 42.74 | . | ||
S3 | 42.74 | . |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 0 | . | ||
Current price | 42.74 | |||
Support | S1 | 42.53 | -0.491% | |
S2 | 42.07 | -1.57% | ||
S3 | 41.86 | -2.06% |
FAQ
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