AIB Group Plc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
AIB Group Plc stock upgraded from Buy Candidate to Strong Buy Candidate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)
The AIB Group Plc stock price gained 1.41% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2024), rising from £426.50 to £432.50. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.85% from a day low at £432.50 to a day high of £440.50. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.61% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 2 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 18 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £7.69 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 28.94% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £533.16 and £578.94 at the end of this 3-month period.
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AIBG.L Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The AIB Group Plc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at £422.21 and £404.51. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 5.75%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AIB Group Plc stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at £339.50 and £337.00. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, AIB Group Plc finds support just below today's level at £339.50. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at £337.00 and £334.50.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved £8.00 between high and low, or 1.85%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.61%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £415.04 (-4.04%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 5 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AIBG.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect AIB Group Plc to open at £435.17, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £420.12 and £444.88, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£12.38 (+/-2.86%) up or down from last closing price. If AIB Group Plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.73% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ £339.50, some £93.00 (21.50%) from the current price of £432.50, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is AIB Group Plc stock A Buy?
AIB Group Plc holds several positive signals and is within a strong rising trend. As the old saying says, "Let the trend be your friend.'". We therefore consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Strong Buy candidate.
Current score: 5.021 Strong Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for AIB Group Plc of Wednesday, April 24, 2024
| Fair opening price April 24, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £435.17 ( 0.617%) | £432.50 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AIBG.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 443.17 | 2.47 % | |
| R2 | 440.11 | 1.76 % | ||
| R1 | 438.22 | 1.32 % | ||
| Current price: | 432.50 | |||
| Support | S1 | 432.11 | -0.0900 % | |
| S2 | 430.22 | -0.527 % | ||
| S3 | 427.17 | -1.23 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 0 | . | ||
| R1 | 0 | . | ||
| Current price | 432.50 | |||
| Support | S1 | 339.50 | -21.50% | |
| S2 | 337.00 | -22.08% | ||
| S3 | 334.50 | -22.66% |
AIBG Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | May 10, 2024 | £22.74 | 5.26% |
| 2 | Mar 08, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | May 12, 2023 | £6.20 | 1.86% |
| 3 | Mar 03, 2022 | Mar 31, 2022 | May 13, 2022 | £4.50 | 2.46% |
| 4 | Mar 06, 2020 | Mar 26, 2020 | May 07, 2020 | £8.00 | 9.21% |
| 5 | Mar 02, 2018 | Mar 21, 2019 | May 04, 2018 | £17.00 | 3.95% |
FAQ
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