ALDR Forecast and Technical Stock AnalysisSell candidate since 2019-07-12 Loss -14.24%
Alder BioPharmaceuticals fell by -2.87% in the last day ( Friday, 19th Jul 2019 ) from $10.11 to $9.82 and has now fallen 7 days in a row. During day the stock fluctuated 4.70% from a day low at $9.78 to a day high of $10.24. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -13.86% for this period. Volume fell in the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. In the last day the trading volume fell by -499 301 shares and in total 982 518 shares bought and sold for approximately $9.65 million.
- 30 day high of the ALDR stock price was $12.24 and low was $9.75.
- 90 day high was $14.20 and low was $9.75.
- 52 week high for the Alder BioPharmaceuticals - $20.87 and low - $9.44.
Alder BioPharmaceuticals lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this will normally pose a very good buying opportunity. A break down the bottom trend line at $9.26 will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -12.61% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $8.09 and $10.76 at the end of this period.
There are few to none technical positive signals at the moment. Alder BioPharmaceuticals holds sales signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general sales signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up there will be some resistance from the lines at $10.73 and $11.35. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday July 03, 2019, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSImin/max Values: [ 25 - 75 ]
The stock currently holds a RSI14 at 17 and is oversold on RSI14. The stock being oversold is no guarantee for instant reaction up as some stocks may be oversold for a long time. It is important to review the previous RSI-history to get an indication of the RSI-sensitiveness.
* Stockinvest.us uses dynamical calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.
Support & Resistance
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.46 between high and low, or 4.70%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 5.20%.
Alder BioPharmaceuticals is oversold on RSI14 (17). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stoploss: We hold a sell evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss set.
5.20 %Average volatility
Very Low Low Medium High Very High
Alder BioPharmaceuticals holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. We have upgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Strong Sell Candidate to a Sell Candidate.
|ALDR $9.82 ($-0.29 -2.87%)|
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