Allstate Corporation (The) Stock Forecast
Red day on Wednesday for Allstate Corporation (The) stock after losing 1.72%
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The Allstate Corporation (The) stock price fell by -1.72% on the last day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024) from $175.28 to $172.27. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.05% from a day low at $171.33 to a day high of $174.85. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 1.48% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 44 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $250.62 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 10.22% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $181.03 and $193.92 at the end of this 3-month period.
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ALL Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 22, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.79%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. The Allstate Corporation (The) stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $170.31 and $166.62. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Allstate Corporation (The) stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $162.20 and $161.75. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Allstate Corporation (The) finds support just below today's level at $162.20. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $161.75 and $159.52.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $3.51 (2.05%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.16%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $166.06 (-3.60%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ALL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect Allstate Corporation (The) to open at $172.82, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $168.87 and $175.67, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.40 (+/-1.97%) up or down from last closing price. If Allstate Corporation (The) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.94% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $172.54 (0.16%) than the support at $162.20 (5.85%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Allstate Corporation (The) will release earnings AMC on Wednesday, May 01, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $3.88. We will update the financials statements for Allstate Corporation (The), that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 1.96% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Allstate Corporation (The) stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Allstate Corporation (The) stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 3.068 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Allstate Corporation (The) of Thursday, April 25, 2024
| Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $172.82 ( 0.316%) | $172.27 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ALL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 176.33 | 2.36 % | |
| R2 | 174.99 | 1.58 % | ||
| R1 | 174.16 | 1.10 % | ||
| Current price: | 172.27 | |||
| Support | S1 | 171.47 | -0.463 % | |
| S2 | 170.64 | -0.94 % | ||
| S3 | 169.30 | -1.72 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 175.41 | 1.82 % | |
| R2 | 172.96 | 0.401 % | ||
| R1 | 172.54 | 0.157 % | ||
| Current price | 172.27 | |||
| Support | S1 | 162.20 | -5.85% | |
| S2 | 161.75 | -6.11% | ||
| S3 | 159.52 | -7.40% |
ALL Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 23, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | $0.92 | 0.533% |
| 2 | Nov 15, 2023 | Nov 29, 2023 | Jan 02, 2024 | $0.89 | 0.619% |
| 3 | Jul 14, 2023 | Aug 30, 2023 | Oct 02, 2023 | $0.89 | 0.80% |
| 4 | May 22, 2023 | Jun 01, 2023 | Jul 03, 2023 | $0.89 | 0.81% |
| 5 | Feb 17, 2023 | Feb 27, 2023 | Mar 17, 2023 | $0.89 | 0.85% |
FAQ
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