ALRM Forecast and Technical Stock AnalysisSell candidate since 2019-07-19
Alarm.com Holdings fell by -0.36% in the last day ( Friday, 19th Jul 2019 ) from $52.39 to $52.20 During day the stock fluctuated 3.21% from a day low at $51.96 to a day high of $53.63. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days , but is still down by -0.21% for this period. Volume fell in the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. In the last day the trading volume fell by -63 037 shares and in total 484 440 shares bought and sold for approximately $25.29 million.
- 30 day high of the ALRM stock price was $55.60 and low was $50.08.
- 90 day high was $71.50 and low was $50.08.
- 52 week high for the Alarm.com Holdings - $71.50 and low - $40.92.
Alarm.com Holdings lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this will normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $52.70 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -29.44% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $29.94 and $37.18 at the end of this period.
Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Alarm.com Holdings holds a buysignal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, a sales signal from the long-term average. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sales signal in the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term moving average at $53.07. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $51.46. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sales signal and strengthen the general signal. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday July 18, 2019, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSImin/max Values: [ 25 - 80 ]
RSI14 is 40 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold
* Stockinvest.us uses dynamical calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.
Support & Resistance
Alarm.com Holdings finds support from accumulated volume at $51.74.
This stock is usually traded at good volume, and with minor daily changes the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.67 (3.21%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 2.79%.
Our recommended stoploss: We hold a sell evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss set.
2.79 %Average volatility
Very Low Low Medium High Very High
Alarm.com Holdings holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell Candidate.
|ALRM $52.20 ($-0.19 -0.36%)|
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